Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Iveco Group N.V. (IVG.MI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$20.14 - $40.02$27.92
Multi-Stage$21.57 - $23.62$22.58
Blended Fair Value$25.25
Current Price$16.70
Upside51.18%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS146.50%0.00%0.340.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.25%0.00%0.04%0.00%0.00%0.04%0.04%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)322.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)88.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)234.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)64.4040.2524.15
Cash Retained (M)234.00234.00234.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-64.40-40.25-24.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)169.60193.75209.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)268.25268.25268.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.630.720.78
LTM Dividend per Share0.330.330.33
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.630.720.78
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.961.051.11
WACC / Discount Rate7.97%7.97%7.97%
Growth Rate3.06%4.06%5.06%
Fair Value$20.14$27.92$40.02
Upside / Downside20.58%67.18%139.65%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)322.00335.06348.64362.78377.49392.80404.58
Payout Ratio27.33%39.86%52.40%64.93%77.47%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)88.00133.57182.68235.56292.43353.52374.24

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.97%7.97%7.97%
Growth Rate3.06%4.06%5.06%
Year 1 PV (M)122.52123.71124.90
Year 2 PV (M)153.71156.71159.73
Year 3 PV (M)181.81187.15192.60
Year 4 PV (M)207.03215.19223.58
Year 5 PV (M)229.58240.94252.74
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,890.515,132.445,383.85
Equity Value (M)5,785.166,056.136,337.39
Shares Outstanding (M)268.25268.25268.25
Fair Value$21.57$22.58$23.62
Upside / Downside29.14%35.19%41.47%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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