Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

HHG Capital Corporation (HHGC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Shell CompaniesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.90 - $2.69$2.29
Multi-Stage$2.89 - $3.17$3.03
Blended Fair Value$2.66
Current Price$10.97
Upside-75.77%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1.47
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.47
(=) Cash Retained (M)1.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)0.290.180.11
Cash Retained (M)1.001.001.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-0.29-0.18-0.11
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.700.810.89
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)5.075.075.07
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.140.160.18
LTM Dividend per Share0.090.090.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.140.160.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.230.250.27
WACC / Discount Rate9.96%9.96%9.96%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1.90$2.29$2.69
Upside / Downside-82.71%-79.16%-75.51%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1.471.451.441.421.411.391.44
Payout Ratio31.96%43.56%55.17%66.78%78.39%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.470.630.790.951.101.261.33

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.96%9.96%9.96%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)0.570.580.58
Year 2 PV (M)0.640.660.67
Year 3 PV (M)0.690.710.74
Year 4 PV (M)0.730.760.79
Year 5 PV (M)0.740.780.82
PV of Terminal Value (M)11.2811.8612.48
Equity Value (M)14.6515.3416.07
Shares Outstanding (M)5.075.075.07
Fair Value$2.89$3.03$3.17
Upside / Downside-73.64%-72.39%-71.09%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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