Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $84.28 - $312.68 | $141.26 |
| Multi-Stage | $69.91 - $76.42 | $73.11 |
| Blended Fair Value | $107.18 | |
| Current Price | $10.05 | |
| Upside | 966.50% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 8.17% | 23.59% | 0.93 | 1.34 | 1.27 | 2.17 | 1.84 | 0.62 | 0.72 | 0.28 | 0.25 | 0.04 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | -31.14% | 5.56% | -41.45% | 17.86% | 195.27% | -13.29% | 154.00% | 15.76% | 562.28% | -66.76% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 9.21% | 9.27% | 8.63% | 17.97% | 10.54% | 6.54% | 11.31% | 8.73% | 6.11% | 1.42% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 9,122.57 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 6,991.91 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 2,130.66 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 1,824.51 | 1,140.32 | 684.19 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 2,130.66 | 2,130.66 | 2,130.66 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -1,824.51 | -1,140.32 | -684.19 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 306.14 | 990.34 | 1,446.47 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 3,080.77 | 3,080.77 | 3,080.77 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 0.10 | 0.32 | 0.47 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 2.27 | 2.27 | 2.27 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 0.10 | 0.32 | 0.47 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 2.37 | 2.59 | 2.74 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.21% | 7.21% | 7.21% |
| Growth Rate | 4.28% | 5.28% | 6.28% |
| Fair Value | $84.28 | $141.26 | $312.68 |
| Upside / Downside | 738.60% | 1,305.58% | 3,011.29% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 9,122.57 | 9,603.81 | 10,110.43 | 10,643.79 | 11,205.28 | 11,796.38 | 12,150.28 |
| Payout Ratio | 76.64% | 79.32% | 81.99% | 84.66% | 87.33% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 6,991.91 | 7,617.29 | 8,289.19 | 9,010.78 | 9,785.44 | 10,616.75 | 11,239.01 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.21% | 7.21% | 7.21% |
| Growth Rate | 4.28% | 5.28% | 6.28% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 7,037.77 | 7,105.26 | 7,172.76 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 7,075.90 | 7,212.27 | 7,349.94 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 7,106.69 | 7,313.11 | 7,523.50 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 7,130.50 | 7,407.99 | 7,693.49 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 7,147.70 | 7,497.07 | 7,859.97 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 179,891.40 | 188,684.23 | 197,817.57 |
| Equity Value (M) | 215,389.96 | 225,219.93 | 235,417.23 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 3,080.77 | 3,080.77 | 3,080.77 |
| Fair Value | $69.91 | $73.11 | $76.42 |
| Upside / Downside | 595.67% | 627.41% | 660.35% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LZOEX | Lazard Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio | 0.09% | $0.02 | 36.87% |
| PWR | Quanta Services, Inc. | 0.09% | $0.39 | 5.78% |
| AAMI | Acadian Asset Management | 0.08% | $0.04 | 1.59% |
| PDLB | Ponce Financial Group, Inc. | 0.08% | $0.01 | 1.31% |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings Co | 0.08% | $0.15 | 5.48% |
| 0J46.L | HEICO Corporation | 0.07% | $0.23 | 4.98% |
| 0JYM.L | Markel Corporation | 0.07% | $1.41 | 0.87% |
| CHCI | Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. | 0.06% | $0.01 | 0.56% |
| MTVC | Motive Capital Corp II | 0.06% | $0.01 | 2.21% |
| ENJ | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.0% Series due December 1, 2052 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| ENO | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.50% Series due April 1, 2066 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| AJRD | Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. | 0.04% | $0.02 | 2.70% |
| ERES | East Resources Acquisition Company | 0.04% | $0.00 | 1.55% |
| NBN | Northeast Bank | 0.04% | $0.04 | 0.38% |
| ARHS | Arhaus, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.61% |
| BSIG | BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. | 0.03% | $0.01 | 0.34% |
| EWCZ | European Wax Center, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.37% |
| WIRE | Encore Wire Corporation | 0.03% | $0.08 | 0.42% |
| ACFN | Acorn Energy, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.09% |
| ACMR | ACM Research, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.01 | 0.62% |
| CFB | CrossFirst Bankshares, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.21% |
| FDSB | Fifth District Savings Bank | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.35% |
| GRDN | Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.75% |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | $0.04 | 0.98% |
| AMG | Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.04 | 0.23% |
| BSX-PA | Boston Scientific Corporation | 0.01% | $0.02 | 0.82% |
| FIGR | Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. Class A Common Stock | 0.01% | $0.00 | 2.22% |
| GNRC | Generac Holdings Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.18% |
| LAUR | Laureate Education, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.22% |
| PLNT | Planet Fitness, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.57% |
| SUM | Summit Materials, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.32% |
| BE | Bloom Energy Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 6.20% |
| BJRI | BJ's Restaurants, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.01% |
| CXW | CoreCivic, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| INFA | Informatica Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.10% |
| MMMB | MamaMancini's Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| PMO | Putnam Municipal Opportunities Trust | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.05% |
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| SLCA | U.S. Silica Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.02% |
| UNIT | Uniti Group Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.00% |