Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $47.24 - $179.11 | $137.80 |
| Multi-Stage | $25.78 - $28.18 | $26.96 |
| Blended Fair Value | $82.38 | |
| Current Price | $9.05 | |
| Upside | 810.26% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 7.02% | 0.00% | 0.74 | 0.70 | 0.64 | 0.62 | 0.56 | 0.52 | 0.30 | 0.12 | 0.10 | 0.03 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 5.39% | 8.56% | 4.43% | 9.33% | 7.47% | 74.79% | 154.29% | 13.01% | 214.23% | 0.00% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 7.14% | 6.65% | 6.25% | 4.89% | 4.82% | 3.34% | 2.60% | 1.10% | 1.10% | 0.33% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 2,970.35 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 2,462.54 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 507.81 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 594.07 | 371.29 | 222.78 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 507.81 | 507.81 | 507.81 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -594.07 | -371.29 | -222.78 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | -86.26 | 136.52 | 285.04 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 3,283.39 | 3,283.39 | 3,283.39 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | -0.03 | 0.04 | 0.09 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 0.75 | 0.75 | 0.75 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | -0.03 | 0.04 | 0.09 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 0.72 | 0.79 | 0.84 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.63% | 6.63% | 6.63% |
| Growth Rate | 5.02% | 6.02% | 7.02% |
| Fair Value | $47.24 | $137.80 | $179.11 |
| Upside / Downside | 421.96% | 1,422.64% | 1,879.12% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 2,970.35 | 3,149.15 | 3,338.71 | 3,539.69 | 3,752.76 | 3,978.65 | 4,098.01 |
| Payout Ratio | 82.90% | 84.32% | 85.74% | 87.16% | 88.58% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 2,462.54 | 2,655.46 | 2,862.69 | 3,085.25 | 3,324.22 | 3,580.79 | 3,790.66 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.63% | 6.63% | 6.63% |
| Growth Rate | 5.02% | 6.02% | 7.02% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 2,466.90 | 2,490.39 | 2,513.88 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 2,470.57 | 2,517.84 | 2,565.56 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 2,473.56 | 2,544.90 | 2,617.59 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 2,475.90 | 2,571.56 | 2,669.97 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 2,477.61 | 2,597.84 | 2,722.69 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 72,284.34 | 75,791.98 | 79,434.49 |
| Equity Value (M) | 84,648.89 | 88,514.51 | 92,524.17 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 3,283.39 | 3,283.39 | 3,283.39 |
| Fair Value | $25.78 | $26.96 | $28.18 |
| Upside / Downside | 184.87% | 197.88% | 211.38% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LZOEX | Lazard Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio | 0.09% | $0.02 | 36.87% |
| PWR | Quanta Services, Inc. | 0.09% | $0.39 | 5.78% |
| AAMI | Acadian Asset Management | 0.08% | $0.04 | 1.59% |
| PDLB | Ponce Financial Group, Inc. | 0.08% | $0.01 | 1.31% |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings Co | 0.08% | $0.15 | 5.48% |
| 0J46.L | HEICO Corporation | 0.07% | $0.23 | 4.98% |
| 0JYM.L | Markel Corporation | 0.07% | $1.41 | 0.87% |
| CHCI | Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. | 0.06% | $0.01 | 0.56% |
| MTVC | Motive Capital Corp II | 0.06% | $0.01 | 2.21% |
| ENJ | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.0% Series due December 1, 2052 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| ENO | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.50% Series due April 1, 2066 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| AJRD | Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. | 0.04% | $0.02 | 2.70% |
| ERES | East Resources Acquisition Company | 0.04% | $0.00 | 1.55% |
| NBN | Northeast Bank | 0.04% | $0.04 | 0.38% |
| ARHS | Arhaus, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.61% |
| BSIG | BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. | 0.03% | $0.01 | 0.34% |
| EWCZ | European Wax Center, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.37% |
| WIRE | Encore Wire Corporation | 0.03% | $0.08 | 0.42% |
| ACFN | Acorn Energy, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.09% |
| ACMR | ACM Research, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.01 | 0.62% |
| CFB | CrossFirst Bankshares, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.21% |
| FDSB | Fifth District Savings Bank | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.35% |
| GRDN | Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.75% |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | $0.04 | 0.98% |
| AMG | Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.04 | 0.23% |
| BSX-PA | Boston Scientific Corporation | 0.01% | $0.02 | 0.82% |
| FIGR | Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. Class A Common Stock | 0.01% | $0.00 | 2.22% |
| GNRC | Generac Holdings Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.18% |
| LAUR | Laureate Education, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.22% |
| PLNT | Planet Fitness, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.57% |
| SUM | Summit Materials, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.32% |
| BE | Bloom Energy Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 6.20% |
| BJRI | BJ's Restaurants, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.01% |
| CXW | CoreCivic, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| INFA | Informatica Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.10% |
| MMMB | MamaMancini's Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| PMO | Putnam Municipal Opportunities Trust | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.05% |
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| SLCA | U.S. Silica Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.02% |
| UNIT | Uniti Group Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.00% |