Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Frasers Property (Thailand) Public Company Limited (FPT.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DevelopmentSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.93 - $12.56$10.04
Multi-Stage$18.20 - $20.04$19.10
Blended Fair Value$14.57
Current Price$6.30
Upside131.28%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS13.86%0.37%0.410.440.340.600.430.210.080.060.240.24
YoY Growth---6.74%28.87%-43.33%40.74%99.67%170.00%24.99%-73.30%0.05%-39.88%
Dividend Yield--3.47%2.89%2.23%4.97%3.47%1.44%0.59%0.36%1.55%2.03%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,825.09
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)738.90
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,086.19
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)365.02228.14136.88
Cash Retained (M)1,086.191,086.191,086.19
(-) Cash Required (M)-365.02-228.14-136.88
(=) Excess Retained (M)721.17858.05949.31
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,314.752,314.752,314.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.310.370.41
LTM Dividend per Share0.320.320.32
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.310.370.41
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.630.690.73
WACC / Discount Rate6.19%6.19%6.19%
Growth Rate-1.63%-0.63%0.37%
Fair Value$7.93$10.04$12.56
Upside / Downside25.80%59.35%99.34%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,825.091,813.511,802.011,790.571,779.211,767.931,820.97
Payout Ratio40.49%50.39%60.29%70.19%80.10%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)738.90913.801,086.461,256.881,425.101,591.131,684.39

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.19%6.19%6.19%
Growth Rate-1.63%-0.63%0.37%
Year 1 PV (M)851.84860.50869.16
Year 2 PV (M)944.11963.41982.90
Year 3 PV (M)1,018.151,049.521,081.53
Year 4 PV (M)1,076.141,120.571,166.37
Year 5 PV (M)1,120.051,178.151,238.64
PV of Terminal Value (M)37,119.2839,044.8441,049.49
Equity Value (M)42,129.5844,216.9946,388.08
Shares Outstanding (M)2,314.752,314.752,314.75
Fair Value$18.20$19.10$20.04
Upside / Downside188.90%203.21%218.10%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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