Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Euroseas Ltd. (ESEA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Marine ShippingSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,451.87 - $3,446.22$3,229.61
Multi-Stage$499.22 - $546.83$522.58
Blended Fair Value$1,876.10
Current Price$59.61
Upside3,047.29%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%104.68%2.412.001.550.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--20.43%29.41%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--7.88%6.80%10.29%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)120.86
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)18.31
(=) Cash Retained (M)102.56
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)24.1715.119.06
Cash Retained (M)102.56102.56102.56
(-) Cash Required (M)-24.17-15.11-9.06
(=) Excess Retained (M)78.3887.4593.49
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)6.976.976.97
(=) Excess Retained per Share11.2412.5413.40
LTM Dividend per Share2.622.622.62
(+) Excess Retained per Share11.2412.5413.40
(=) Adjusted Dividend13.8615.1616.03
WACC / Discount Rate6.51%6.51%6.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,451.87$3,229.61$3,446.22
Upside / Downside2,335.62%5,317.91%5,681.28%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)120.86128.72137.09146.00155.49165.59170.56
Payout Ratio15.15%30.12%45.09%60.06%75.03%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)18.3138.7761.8187.68116.66149.04157.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.51%6.51%6.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)36.0636.4036.74
Year 2 PV (M)53.4754.4955.52
Year 3 PV (M)70.5572.5774.64
Year 4 PV (M)87.3090.6694.11
Year 5 PV (M)103.73108.74113.94
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,130.863,282.083,439.09
Equity Value (M)3,481.973,644.943,814.04
Shares Outstanding (M)6.976.976.97
Fair Value$499.22$522.58$546.83
Upside / Downside737.47%776.67%817.34%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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