Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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East Resources Acquisition Company (ERES)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Shell CompaniesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.86 - $9.27$7.42
Multi-Stage$14.46 - $15.96$15.19
Blended Fair Value$11.30
Current Price$10.85
Upside4.19%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.010.010.010.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---100.00%84.07%9.28%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.13%0.07%0.07%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)28.58
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.44
(=) Cash Retained (M)28.14
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5.723.572.14
Cash Retained (M)28.1428.1428.14
(-) Cash Required (M)-5.72-3.57-2.14
(=) Excess Retained (M)22.4224.5726.00
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)48.5448.5448.54
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.460.510.54
LTM Dividend per Share0.010.010.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.460.510.54
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.470.520.54
WACC / Discount Rate5.88%5.88%5.88%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$5.86$7.42$9.27
Upside / Downside-45.99%-31.65%-14.60%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)28.5828.3028.0127.7327.4627.1828.00
Payout Ratio1.55%19.24%36.93%54.62%72.31%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.445.4410.3415.1519.8524.4625.90

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.88%5.88%5.88%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)5.095.145.19
Year 2 PV (M)9.049.239.42
Year 3 PV (M)12.3812.7613.15
Year 4 PV (M)15.1715.8016.45
Year 5 PV (M)17.4818.3919.33
PV of Terminal Value (M)642.67676.14710.98
Equity Value (M)701.83737.45774.52
Shares Outstanding (M)48.5448.5448.54
Fair Value$14.46$15.19$15.96
Upside / Downside33.27%40.03%47.07%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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