Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $0.64 - $0.83 | $0.74 |
| Multi-Stage | $1.96 - $2.19 | $2.07 |
| Blended Fair Value | $1.40 | |
| Current Price | $1.61 | |
| Upside | -12.78% | |
| Decision | Don't Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | -53.19% | -10.62% | 0.09 | 4.33 | 1.04 | 0.06 | 3.95 | 3.96 | 2.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | -97.94% | 317.32% | 1,762.53% | -98.59% | -0.20% | 40.72% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -100.00% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 5.53% | 23.09% | 4.99% | 0.20% | 14.22% | 12.46% | 8.58% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 23.66 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 2.04 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 21.63 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 4.73 | 2.96 | 1.77 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 21.63 | 21.63 | 21.63 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -4.73 | -2.96 | -1.77 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 16.90 | 18.67 | 19.85 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 108.19 | 108.19 | 108.19 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 0.16 | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 0.16 | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 0.17 | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.71% | 6.71% | 6.71% |
| Growth Rate | -16.21% | -15.21% | -14.21% |
| Fair Value | $0.64 | $0.74 | $0.83 |
| Upside / Downside | -60.27% | -54.02% | -48.47% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 23.66 | 20.06 | 17.01 | 14.43 | 12.23 | 10.37 | 10.68 |
| Payout Ratio | 8.60% | 24.88% | 41.16% | 57.44% | 73.72% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 2.04 | 4.99 | 7.00 | 8.29 | 9.02 | 9.33 | 9.88 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.71% | 6.71% | 6.71% |
| Growth Rate | -16.21% | -15.21% | -14.21% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 4.62 | 4.68 | 4.73 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 6.01 | 6.15 | 6.30 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 6.58 | 6.82 | 7.06 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 6.63 | 6.95 | 7.29 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 6.36 | 6.75 | 7.15 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 181.32 | 192.41 | 204.02 |
| Equity Value (M) | 211.52 | 223.75 | 236.56 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 108.19 | 108.19 | 108.19 |
| Fair Value | $1.96 | $2.07 | $2.19 |
| Upside / Downside | 21.44% | 28.46% | 35.81% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LZOEX | Lazard Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio | 0.09% | $0.02 | 36.87% |
| PWR | Quanta Services, Inc. | 0.09% | $0.39 | 5.78% |
| AAMI | Acadian Asset Management | 0.08% | $0.04 | 1.59% |
| PDLB | Ponce Financial Group, Inc. | 0.08% | $0.01 | 1.31% |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings Co | 0.08% | $0.15 | 5.48% |
| 0J46.L | HEICO Corporation | 0.07% | $0.23 | 4.98% |
| 0JYM.L | Markel Corporation | 0.07% | $1.41 | 0.87% |
| CHCI | Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. | 0.06% | $0.01 | 0.56% |
| MTVC | Motive Capital Corp II | 0.06% | $0.01 | 2.21% |
| ENJ | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.0% Series due December 1, 2052 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| ENO | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.50% Series due April 1, 2066 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| AJRD | Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. | 0.04% | $0.02 | 2.70% |
| ERES | East Resources Acquisition Company | 0.04% | $0.00 | 1.55% |
| NBN | Northeast Bank | 0.04% | $0.04 | 0.38% |
| ARHS | Arhaus, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.61% |
| BSIG | BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. | 0.03% | $0.01 | 0.34% |
| EWCZ | European Wax Center, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.37% |
| WIRE | Encore Wire Corporation | 0.03% | $0.08 | 0.42% |
| ACFN | Acorn Energy, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.09% |
| ACMR | ACM Research, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.01 | 0.62% |
| CFB | CrossFirst Bankshares, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.21% |
| FDSB | Fifth District Savings Bank | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.35% |
| GRDN | Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.75% |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | $0.04 | 0.98% |
| AMG | Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.04 | 0.23% |
| BSX-PA | Boston Scientific Corporation | 0.01% | $0.02 | 0.82% |
| FIGR | Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. Class A Common Stock | 0.01% | $0.00 | 2.22% |
| GNRC | Generac Holdings Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.18% |
| LAUR | Laureate Education, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.22% |
| PLNT | Planet Fitness, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.57% |
| SUM | Summit Materials, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.32% |
| BE | Bloom Energy Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 6.20% |
| BJRI | BJ's Restaurants, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.01% |
| CXW | CoreCivic, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| INFA | Informatica Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.10% |
| MMMB | MamaMancini's Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| PMO | Putnam Municipal Opportunities Trust | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.05% |
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| SLCA | U.S. Silica Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.02% |
| UNIT | Uniti Group Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.00% |