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Definitive Analysis

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Eastern Polymer Group Public Company Limited (EPG-R.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$13.41 - $69.94$27.01
Multi-Stage$9.91 - $10.86$10.38
Blended Fair Value$18.69
Current Price$3.30
Upside466.39%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-7.79%8.43%0.160.260.300.330.210.240.230.250.220.16
YoY Growth---38.46%-13.33%-9.08%57.13%-12.50%4.35%-8.00%13.64%37.50%124.56%
Dividend Yield--6.91%5.16%4.36%3.54%1.91%5.03%3.72%3.43%1.75%1.21%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)993.93
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)392.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)601.93
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)198.79124.2474.55
Cash Retained (M)601.93601.93601.93
(-) Cash Required (M)-198.79-124.24-74.55
(=) Excess Retained (M)403.15477.69527.39
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,793.812,793.812,793.81
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.140.170.19
LTM Dividend per Share0.140.140.14
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.140.170.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.280.310.33
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate4.27%5.27%6.27%
Fair Value$13.41$27.01$69.94
Upside / Downside306.28%718.33%2,019.53%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)993.931,046.341,101.511,159.591,220.731,285.101,323.65
Payout Ratio39.44%49.55%59.66%69.78%79.89%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)392.00518.48657.20809.11975.221,156.591,224.38

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate4.27%5.27%6.27%
Year 1 PV (M)482.27486.89491.52
Year 2 PV (M)568.62579.58590.64
Year 3 PV (M)651.17670.08689.36
Year 4 PV (M)730.04758.45787.68
Year 5 PV (M)805.35844.72885.61
PV of Terminal Value (M)24,455.1825,650.5426,892.20
Equity Value (M)27,692.6328,990.2730,337.01
Shares Outstanding (M)2,793.812,793.812,793.81
Fair Value$9.91$10.38$10.86
Upside / Downside200.37%214.44%229.05%

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