Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Leonardo DRS, Inc. (DRS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Aerospace & DefenseSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.12 - $10.30$8.67
Multi-Stage$11.65 - $12.81$12.22
Blended Fair Value$10.44
Current Price$45.40
Upside-76.99%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018200820072006
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.001.470.000.000.000.000.020.020.01
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-0.60%33.93%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%11.37%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)265.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)55.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)210.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)53.0033.1319.88
Cash Retained (M)210.00210.00210.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-53.00-33.13-19.88
(=) Excess Retained (M)157.00176.88190.13
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)268.60268.60268.60
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.580.660.71
LTM Dividend per Share0.200.200.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.580.660.71
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.790.860.91
WACC / Discount Rate8.86%8.86%8.86%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$7.12$8.67$10.30
Upside / Downside-84.31%-80.90%-77.31%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)265.00262.35259.73257.13254.56252.01259.57
Payout Ratio20.75%34.60%48.45%62.30%76.15%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)55.0090.78125.84160.20193.85226.81240.10

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.86%8.86%8.86%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)82.5583.4084.24
Year 2 PV (M)104.06106.20108.36
Year 3 PV (M)120.46124.19127.99
Year 4 PV (M)132.56138.05143.71
Year 5 PV (M)141.04148.38156.03
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,549.052,681.782,819.99
Equity Value (M)3,129.723,282.003,440.31
Shares Outstanding (M)268.60268.60268.60
Fair Value$11.65$12.22$12.81
Upside / Downside-74.33%-73.09%-71.79%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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