Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Salesforce, Inc. (CRM)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$136.79 - $284.74$192.89
Multi-Stage$101.10 - $110.39$105.66
Blended Fair Value$149.27
Current Price$260.41
Upside-42.68%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%1.590.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.59%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7,222.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,579.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)5,643.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,444.40902.75541.65
Cash Retained (M)5,643.005,643.005,643.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,444.40-902.75-541.65
(=) Excess Retained (M)4,198.604,740.255,101.35
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)967.00967.00967.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.344.905.28
LTM Dividend per Share1.631.631.63
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.344.905.28
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.976.536.91
WACC / Discount Rate10.11%10.11%10.11%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$136.79$192.89$284.74
Upside / Downside-47.47%-25.93%9.34%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7,222.007,691.438,191.378,723.819,290.869,894.7710,191.61
Payout Ratio21.86%35.49%49.12%62.75%76.37%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,579.002,729.774,023.465,473.807,095.698,905.299,427.24

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.11%10.11%10.11%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2,455.892,479.172,502.45
Year 2 PV (M)3,256.613,318.643,381.26
Year 3 PV (M)3,986.014,100.444,217.03
Year 4 PV (M)4,648.664,827.435,011.31
Year 5 PV (M)5,248.865,502.385,765.60
PV of Terminal Value (M)78,170.5981,946.2685,866.44
Equity Value (M)97,766.62102,174.32106,744.09
Shares Outstanding (M)967.00967.00967.00
Fair Value$101.10$105.66$110.39
Upside / Downside-61.18%-59.43%-57.61%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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