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Seraphine Group PLC (BUMP.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - RetailSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$14.44 - $21.54$17.81
Multi-Stage$28.74 - $31.54$30.11
Blended Fair Value$23.96
Current Price$0.31
Upside7,756.40%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)282.57
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)214.94
(=) Cash Retained (M)67.63
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)56.5135.3221.19
Cash Retained (M)67.6367.6367.63
(-) Cash Required (M)-56.51-35.32-21.19
(=) Excess Retained (M)11.1232.3146.44
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)160.60160.60160.60
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.070.200.29
LTM Dividend per Share1.341.341.34
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.070.200.29
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.411.541.63
WACC / Discount Rate7.56%7.56%7.56%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$14.44$17.81$21.54
Upside / Downside4,632.88%5,740.61%6,962.13%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)282.57279.75276.95274.18271.44268.72276.79
Payout Ratio76.06%78.85%81.64%84.43%87.21%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)214.94220.59226.10231.48236.73241.85256.03

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.56%7.56%7.56%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)203.02205.09207.16
Year 2 PV (M)191.52195.45199.41
Year 3 PV (M)180.46186.04191.74
Year 4 PV (M)169.85176.89184.15
Year 5 PV (M)159.71168.03176.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,710.963,904.194,105.40
Equity Value (M)4,615.514,835.695,064.54
Shares Outstanding (M)160.60160.60160.60
Fair Value$28.74$30.11$31.54
Upside / Downside9,322.69%9,772.18%10,239.39%

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