Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $65.05 - $172.55 | $99.46 |
| Multi-Stage | $44.31 - $48.43 | $46.33 |
| Blended Fair Value | $72.90 | |
| Current Price | $23.61 | |
| Upside | 208.76% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 24.08% | 0.00% | 0.50 | 0.43 | 0.37 | 0.32 | 0.25 | 0.17 | 0.11 | 0.06 | 0.04 | 0.00 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 17.45% | 16.92% | 14.71% | 25.48% | 48.79% | 54.04% | 83.09% | 69.70% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 2.06% | 1.97% | 2.14% | 1.31% | 1.06% | 1.27% | 0.45% | 0.24% | 0.14% | 0.00% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 81.99 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 16.57 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 65.42 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 16.40 | 10.25 | 6.15 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 65.42 | 65.42 | 65.42 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -16.40 | -10.25 | -6.15 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 49.02 | 55.17 | 59.27 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 29.57 | 29.57 | 29.57 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 1.66 | 1.87 | 2.00 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 0.56 | 0.56 | 0.56 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 1.66 | 1.87 | 2.00 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 2.22 | 2.43 | 2.57 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 9.10% | 9.10% | 9.10% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Fair Value | $65.05 | $99.46 | $172.55 |
| Upside / Downside | 175.51% | 321.28% | 630.84% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 81.99 | 87.32 | 93.00 | 99.04 | 105.48 | 112.33 | 115.70 |
| Payout Ratio | 20.21% | 34.17% | 48.13% | 62.08% | 76.04% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 16.57 | 29.84 | 44.76 | 61.49 | 80.21 | 101.10 | 107.03 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 9.10% | 9.10% | 9.10% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 27.09 | 27.35 | 27.60 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 36.90 | 37.60 | 38.31 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 46.03 | 47.35 | 48.70 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 54.52 | 56.62 | 58.77 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 62.40 | 65.41 | 68.54 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 1,083.26 | 1,135.58 | 1,189.90 |
| Equity Value (M) | 1,310.20 | 1,369.91 | 1,431.83 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 29.57 | 29.57 | 29.57 |
| Fair Value | $44.31 | $46.33 | $48.43 |
| Upside / Downside | 87.68% | 96.24% | 105.11% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LZOEX | Lazard Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio | 0.09% | $0.02 | 36.87% |
| PWR | Quanta Services, Inc. | 0.09% | $0.39 | 5.78% |
| AAMI | Acadian Asset Management | 0.08% | $0.04 | 1.59% |
| PDLB | Ponce Financial Group, Inc. | 0.08% | $0.01 | 1.31% |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings Co | 0.08% | $0.15 | 5.48% |
| 0J46.L | HEICO Corporation | 0.07% | $0.23 | 4.98% |
| 0JYM.L | Markel Corporation | 0.07% | $1.41 | 0.87% |
| CHCI | Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. | 0.06% | $0.01 | 0.56% |
| MTVC | Motive Capital Corp II | 0.06% | $0.01 | 2.21% |
| ENJ | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.0% Series due December 1, 2052 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| ENO | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.50% Series due April 1, 2066 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| AJRD | Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. | 0.04% | $0.02 | 2.70% |
| ERES | East Resources Acquisition Company | 0.04% | $0.00 | 1.55% |
| NBN | Northeast Bank | 0.04% | $0.04 | 0.38% |
| ARHS | Arhaus, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.61% |
| BSIG | BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. | 0.03% | $0.01 | 0.34% |
| EWCZ | European Wax Center, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.37% |
| WIRE | Encore Wire Corporation | 0.03% | $0.08 | 0.42% |
| ACFN | Acorn Energy, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.09% |
| ACMR | ACM Research, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.01 | 0.62% |
| CFB | CrossFirst Bankshares, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.21% |
| FDSB | Fifth District Savings Bank | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.35% |
| GRDN | Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.75% |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | $0.04 | 0.98% |
| AMG | Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.04 | 0.23% |
| BSX-PA | Boston Scientific Corporation | 0.01% | $0.02 | 0.82% |
| FIGR | Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. Class A Common Stock | 0.01% | $0.00 | 2.22% |
| GNRC | Generac Holdings Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.18% |
| LAUR | Laureate Education, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.22% |
| PLNT | Planet Fitness, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.57% |
| SUM | Summit Materials, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.32% |
| BE | Bloom Energy Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 6.20% |
| BJRI | BJ's Restaurants, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.01% |
| CXW | CoreCivic, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| INFA | Informatica Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.10% |
| MMMB | MamaMancini's Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| PMO | Putnam Municipal Opportunities Trust | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.05% |
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| SLCA | U.S. Silica Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.02% |
| UNIT | Uniti Group Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.00% |