Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $2.80 - $5.62 | $3.90 |
| Multi-Stage | $3.90 - $4.27 | $4.08 |
| Blended Fair Value | $3.99 | |
| Current Price | $1.15 | |
| Upside | 247.07% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 0.80% | 20.88% | 0.08 | 0.07 | 0.09 | 0.11 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 0.07 | 0.05 | 0.04 | 0.03 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 6.67% | -16.67% | -18.18% | 29.41% | 10.56% | 5.78% | 53.41% | 21.55% | 39.72% | 132.29% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 5.97% | 5.47% | 9.18% | 5.88% | 4.67% | 6.46% | 8.55% | 6.51% | 5.54% | 5.00% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 53.34 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 48.11 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 5.23 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 10.67 | 6.67 | 4.00 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 5.23 | 5.23 | 5.23 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -10.67 | -6.67 | -4.00 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | -5.44 | -1.44 | 1.23 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 320.84 | 320.84 | 320.84 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 0.15 | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 0.13 | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.86% | 6.86% | 6.86% |
| Growth Rate | 2.02% | 3.02% | 4.02% |
| Fair Value | $2.80 | $3.90 | $5.62 |
| Upside / Downside | 143.57% | 238.99% | 389.06% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 53.34 | 54.95 | 56.61 | 58.32 | 60.08 | 61.90 | 63.75 |
| Payout Ratio | 90.20% | 90.16% | 90.12% | 90.08% | 90.04% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 48.11 | 49.54 | 51.02 | 52.53 | 54.10 | 55.71 | 58.97 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.86% | 6.86% | 6.86% |
| Growth Rate | 2.02% | 3.02% | 4.02% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 45.91 | 46.36 | 46.81 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 43.81 | 44.67 | 45.54 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 41.81 | 43.05 | 44.31 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 39.89 | 41.48 | 43.11 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 38.07 | 39.97 | 41.95 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 1,042.71 | 1,094.82 | 1,149.00 |
| Equity Value (M) | 1,252.19 | 1,310.35 | 1,370.73 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 320.84 | 320.84 | 320.84 |
| Fair Value | $3.90 | $4.08 | $4.27 |
| Upside / Downside | 239.38% | 255.14% | 271.51% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LZOEX | Lazard Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio | 0.09% | $0.02 | 36.87% |
| PWR | Quanta Services, Inc. | 0.09% | $0.39 | 5.78% |
| AAMI | Acadian Asset Management | 0.08% | $0.04 | 1.59% |
| PDLB | Ponce Financial Group, Inc. | 0.08% | $0.01 | 1.31% |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings Co | 0.08% | $0.15 | 5.48% |
| 0J46.L | HEICO Corporation | 0.07% | $0.23 | 4.98% |
| 0JYM.L | Markel Corporation | 0.07% | $1.41 | 0.87% |
| CHCI | Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. | 0.06% | $0.01 | 0.56% |
| MTVC | Motive Capital Corp II | 0.06% | $0.01 | 2.21% |
| ENJ | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.0% Series due December 1, 2052 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| ENO | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.50% Series due April 1, 2066 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| AJRD | Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. | 0.04% | $0.02 | 2.70% |
| ERES | East Resources Acquisition Company | 0.04% | $0.00 | 1.55% |
| NBN | Northeast Bank | 0.04% | $0.04 | 0.38% |
| ARHS | Arhaus, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.61% |
| BSIG | BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. | 0.03% | $0.01 | 0.34% |
| EWCZ | European Wax Center, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.37% |
| WIRE | Encore Wire Corporation | 0.03% | $0.08 | 0.42% |
| ACFN | Acorn Energy, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.09% |
| ACMR | ACM Research, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.01 | 0.62% |
| CFB | CrossFirst Bankshares, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.21% |
| FDSB | Fifth District Savings Bank | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.35% |
| GRDN | Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.75% |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | $0.04 | 0.98% |
| AMG | Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.04 | 0.23% |
| BSX-PA | Boston Scientific Corporation | 0.01% | $0.02 | 0.82% |
| FIGR | Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. Class A Common Stock | 0.01% | $0.00 | 2.22% |
| GNRC | Generac Holdings Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.18% |
| LAUR | Laureate Education, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.22% |
| PLNT | Planet Fitness, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.57% |
| SUM | Summit Materials, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.32% |
| BE | Bloom Energy Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 6.20% |
| BJRI | BJ's Restaurants, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.01% |
| CXW | CoreCivic, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| INFA | Informatica Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.10% |
| MMMB | MamaMancini's Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| PMO | Putnam Municipal Opportunities Trust | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.05% |
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| SLCA | U.S. Silica Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.02% |
| UNIT | Uniti Group Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.00% |