Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc. (ATMU)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - Pollution & Treatment ControlsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$16.28 - $23.23$19.69
Multi-Stage$24.64 - $27.09$25.84
Blended Fair Value$22.77
Current Price$45.09
Upside-49.51%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.100.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.27%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)199.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)16.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)182.70
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)39.9024.9414.96
Cash Retained (M)182.70182.70182.70
(-) Cash Required (M)-39.90-24.94-14.96
(=) Excess Retained (M)142.80157.76167.74
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)83.1083.1083.10
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.721.902.02
LTM Dividend per Share0.200.200.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.721.902.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.922.102.22
WACC / Discount Rate9.56%9.56%9.56%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$16.28$19.69$23.23
Upside / Downside-63.89%-56.33%-48.49%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)199.50197.51195.53193.57191.64189.72195.41
Payout Ratio8.42%24.74%41.05%57.37%73.68%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)16.8048.8680.27111.05141.21170.75180.76

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.56%9.56%9.56%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)44.1444.5945.04
Year 2 PV (M)65.5366.8768.23
Year 3 PV (M)81.9184.4487.03
Year 4 PV (M)94.1098.00102.02
Year 5 PV (M)102.81108.17113.74
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,658.921,745.311,835.25
Equity Value (M)2,047.412,147.382,251.31
Shares Outstanding (M)83.1083.1083.10
Fair Value$24.64$25.84$27.09
Upside / Downside-45.36%-42.69%-39.92%

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