Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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PT Adi Sarana Armada Tbk (ASSA.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Rental & Leasing ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5,396.96 - $20,456.12$15,750.67
Multi-Stage$2,581.67 - $2,822.17$2,699.73
Blended Fair Value$9,225.20
Current Price$845.00
Upside991.74%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%17.21%40.531.270.000.000.000.0011.056.443.684.60
YoY Growth--3,096.49%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%71.43%75.00%-20.00%-44.44%
Dividend Yield--7.65%0.16%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%1.38%2.55%1.47%4.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)379,667.42
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)204,394.25
(=) Cash Retained (M)175,273.17
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)75,933.4847,458.4328,475.06
Cash Retained (M)175,273.17175,273.17175,273.17
(-) Cash Required (M)-75,933.48-47,458.43-28,475.06
(=) Excess Retained (M)99,339.69127,814.74146,798.11
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,691.143,691.143,691.14
(=) Excess Retained per Share26.9134.6339.77
LTM Dividend per Share55.3755.3755.37
(+) Excess Retained per Share26.9134.6339.77
(=) Adjusted Dividend82.2990.0095.14
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$5,396.96$15,750.67$20,456.12
Upside / Downside538.69%1,763.98%2,320.84%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)379,667.42404,345.80430,628.28458,619.12488,429.36520,177.27535,782.58
Payout Ratio53.84%61.07%68.30%75.53%82.77%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)204,394.25246,926.14294,123.62346,413.50404,258.40468,159.54495,598.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)228,373.52230,538.20232,702.88
Year 2 PV (M)251,586.46256,378.47261,215.70
Year 3 PV (M)274,050.66281,917.67289,933.81
Year 4 PV (M)295,783.39307,158.38318,858.35
Year 5 PV (M)316,801.54332,103.17347,990.43
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,162,709.508,556,971.428,966,322.67
Equity Value (M)9,529,305.079,965,067.3210,417,023.85
Shares Outstanding (M)3,691.143,691.143,691.14
Fair Value$2,581.67$2,699.73$2,822.17
Upside / Downside205.52%219.49%233.98%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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