Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Sector

As Commercial Industrial Company of Computers and Toys S.A. (ASCO.AT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: LeisureSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9.05 - $22.37$13.53
Multi-Stage$10.33 - $11.32$10.81
Blended Fair Value$12.17
Current Price$3.74
Upside225.47%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.180.110.110.080.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--63.57%-0.02%38.70%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.08%4.14%5.00%3.85%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5.49
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.37
(=) Cash Retained (M)3.12
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.100.690.41
Cash Retained (M)3.123.123.12
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.10-0.69-0.41
(=) Excess Retained (M)2.022.432.71
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)13.0713.0713.07
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.150.190.21
LTM Dividend per Share0.180.180.18
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.150.190.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.340.370.39
WACC / Discount Rate6.71%6.71%6.71%
Growth Rate2.89%3.89%4.89%
Fair Value$9.05$13.53$22.37
Upside / Downside141.88%261.79%498.09%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5.495.705.926.156.396.646.84
Payout Ratio43.19%52.55%61.91%71.27%80.64%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.373.003.674.395.155.986.33

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.71%6.71%6.71%
Growth Rate2.89%3.89%4.89%
Year 1 PV (M)2.782.812.83
Year 2 PV (M)3.163.223.28
Year 3 PV (M)3.513.613.71
Year 4 PV (M)3.823.984.13
Year 5 PV (M)4.124.324.53
PV of Terminal Value (M)117.53123.36129.41
Equity Value (M)134.92141.29147.91
Shares Outstanding (M)13.0713.0713.07
Fair Value$10.33$10.81$11.32
Upside / Downside176.11%189.14%202.68%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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