Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $14.56 - $26.39 | $19.49 |
| Multi-Stage | $15.46 - $16.88 | $16.16 |
| Blended Fair Value | $17.82 | |
| Current Price | $18.19 | |
| Upside | -2.03% | |
| Decision | Don't Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 5.38% | 22.85% | 0.89 | 0.88 | 0.79 | 0.64 | 0.19 | 0.69 | 2.15 | 0.14 | 0.17 | 0.14 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 1.06% | 11.44% | 23.82% | 237.68% | -72.40% | -68.07% | 1,420.39% | -16.26% | 19.42% | 24.10% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 5.18% | 5.45% | 4.19% | 2.76% | 1.13% | 6.12% | 8.45% | 0.61% | 0.57% | 0.58% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 73.34 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 49.10 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 24.24 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 14.67 | 9.17 | 5.50 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 24.24 | 24.24 | 24.24 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -14.67 | -9.17 | -5.50 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 9.57 | 15.07 | 18.74 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 72.87 | 72.87 | 72.87 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 0.13 | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 0.13 | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 0.81 | 0.88 | 0.93 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 9.10% | 9.10% | 9.10% |
| Growth Rate | 3.38% | 4.38% | 5.38% |
| Fair Value | $14.56 | $19.49 | $26.39 |
| Upside / Downside | -19.96% | 7.13% | 45.10% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 73.34 | 76.55 | 79.91 | 83.41 | 87.06 | 90.88 | 93.60 |
| Payout Ratio | 66.95% | 71.56% | 76.17% | 80.78% | 85.39% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 49.10 | 54.78 | 60.86 | 67.38 | 74.34 | 81.79 | 86.58 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 9.10% | 9.10% | 9.10% |
| Growth Rate | 3.38% | 4.38% | 5.38% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 49.73 | 50.21 | 50.69 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 50.16 | 51.14 | 52.12 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 50.41 | 51.89 | 53.39 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 50.49 | 52.48 | 54.52 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 50.43 | 52.92 | 55.50 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 875.50 | 918.67 | 963.53 |
| Equity Value (M) | 1,126.73 | 1,177.30 | 1,229.75 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 72.87 | 72.87 | 72.87 |
| Fair Value | $15.46 | $16.16 | $16.88 |
| Upside / Downside | -15.00% | -11.18% | -7.23% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LZOEX | Lazard Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio | 0.09% | $0.02 | 36.87% |
| PWR | Quanta Services, Inc. | 0.09% | $0.39 | 5.78% |
| AAMI | Acadian Asset Management | 0.08% | $0.04 | 1.59% |
| PDLB | Ponce Financial Group, Inc. | 0.08% | $0.01 | 1.31% |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings Co | 0.08% | $0.15 | 5.48% |
| 0J46.L | HEICO Corporation | 0.07% | $0.23 | 4.98% |
| 0JYM.L | Markel Corporation | 0.07% | $1.41 | 0.87% |
| CHCI | Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. | 0.06% | $0.01 | 0.56% |
| MTVC | Motive Capital Corp II | 0.06% | $0.01 | 2.21% |
| ENJ | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.0% Series due December 1, 2052 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| ENO | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.50% Series due April 1, 2066 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| AJRD | Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. | 0.04% | $0.02 | 2.70% |
| ERES | East Resources Acquisition Company | 0.04% | $0.00 | 1.55% |
| NBN | Northeast Bank | 0.04% | $0.04 | 0.38% |
| ARHS | Arhaus, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.61% |
| BSIG | BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. | 0.03% | $0.01 | 0.34% |
| EWCZ | European Wax Center, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.37% |
| WIRE | Encore Wire Corporation | 0.03% | $0.08 | 0.42% |
| ACFN | Acorn Energy, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.09% |
| ACMR | ACM Research, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.01 | 0.62% |
| CFB | CrossFirst Bankshares, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.21% |
| FDSB | Fifth District Savings Bank | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.35% |
| GRDN | Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.75% |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | $0.04 | 0.98% |
| AMG | Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.04 | 0.23% |
| BSX-PA | Boston Scientific Corporation | 0.01% | $0.02 | 0.82% |
| FIGR | Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. Class A Common Stock | 0.01% | $0.00 | 2.22% |
| GNRC | Generac Holdings Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.18% |
| LAUR | Laureate Education, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.22% |
| PLNT | Planet Fitness, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.57% |
| SUM | Summit Materials, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.32% |
| BE | Bloom Energy Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 6.20% |
| BJRI | BJ's Restaurants, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.01% |
| CXW | CoreCivic, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| INFA | Informatica Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.10% |
| MMMB | MamaMancini's Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| PMO | Putnam Municipal Opportunities Trust | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.05% |
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| SLCA | U.S. Silica Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.02% |
| UNIT | Uniti Group Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.00% |