Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $194.93 - $703.41 | $620.20 |
| Multi-Stage | $92.34 - $100.86 | $96.52 |
| Blended Fair Value | $358.36 | |
| Current Price | $37.00 | |
| Upside | 868.54% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 30.20% | 34.11% | 2.63 | 2.03 | 2.02 | 2.02 | 0.00 | 0.70 | 0.65 | 0.60 | 0.59 | 0.37 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 29.79% | 0.64% | -0.19% | 0.00% | -100.00% | 8.24% | 9.13% | 0.45% | 58.86% | 166.94% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 7.66% | 5.95% | 5.29% | 5.48% | 0.00% | 4.48% | 4.58% | 4.04% | 4.18% | 2.49% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 54.60 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 43.74 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 10.86 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 10.92 | 6.83 | 4.10 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 10.86 | 10.86 | 10.86 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -10.92 | -6.83 | -4.10 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | -0.06 | 4.04 | 6.77 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 15.44 | 15.44 | 15.44 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 0.00 | 0.26 | 0.44 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 2.83 | 2.83 | 2.83 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 0.00 | 0.26 | 0.44 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 2.83 | 3.09 | 3.27 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.03% | 7.03% | 7.03% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Fair Value | $194.93 | $620.20 | $703.41 |
| Upside / Downside | 426.83% | 1,576.21% | 1,801.11% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 54.60 | 58.15 | 61.93 | 65.95 | 70.24 | 74.81 | 77.05 |
| Payout Ratio | 80.11% | 82.08% | 84.06% | 86.04% | 88.02% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 43.74 | 47.73 | 52.06 | 56.75 | 61.83 | 67.33 | 71.27 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.03% | 7.03% | 7.03% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 44.18 | 44.60 | 45.01 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 44.59 | 45.44 | 46.30 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 44.99 | 46.28 | 47.60 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 45.37 | 47.11 | 48.91 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 45.72 | 47.93 | 50.23 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 1,200.65 | 1,258.64 | 1,318.85 |
| Equity Value (M) | 1,425.50 | 1,490.01 | 1,556.90 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 15.44 | 15.44 | 15.44 |
| Fair Value | $92.34 | $96.52 | $100.86 |
| Upside / Downside | 149.58% | 160.87% | 172.58% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LZOEX | Lazard Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio | 0.09% | $0.02 | 36.87% |
| PWR | Quanta Services, Inc. | 0.09% | $0.39 | 5.78% |
| AAMI | Acadian Asset Management | 0.08% | $0.04 | 1.59% |
| PDLB | Ponce Financial Group, Inc. | 0.08% | $0.01 | 1.31% |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings Co | 0.08% | $0.15 | 5.48% |
| 0J46.L | HEICO Corporation | 0.07% | $0.23 | 4.98% |
| 0JYM.L | Markel Corporation | 0.07% | $1.41 | 0.87% |
| CHCI | Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. | 0.06% | $0.01 | 0.56% |
| MTVC | Motive Capital Corp II | 0.06% | $0.01 | 2.21% |
| ENJ | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.0% Series due December 1, 2052 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| ENO | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.50% Series due April 1, 2066 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| AJRD | Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. | 0.04% | $0.02 | 2.70% |
| ERES | East Resources Acquisition Company | 0.04% | $0.00 | 1.55% |
| NBN | Northeast Bank | 0.04% | $0.04 | 0.38% |
| ARHS | Arhaus, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.61% |
| BSIG | BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. | 0.03% | $0.01 | 0.34% |
| EWCZ | European Wax Center, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.37% |
| WIRE | Encore Wire Corporation | 0.03% | $0.08 | 0.42% |
| ACFN | Acorn Energy, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.09% |
| ACMR | ACM Research, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.01 | 0.62% |
| CFB | CrossFirst Bankshares, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.21% |
| FDSB | Fifth District Savings Bank | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.35% |
| GRDN | Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.75% |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | $0.04 | 0.98% |
| AMG | Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.04 | 0.23% |
| BSX-PA | Boston Scientific Corporation | 0.01% | $0.02 | 0.82% |
| FIGR | Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. Class A Common Stock | 0.01% | $0.00 | 2.22% |
| GNRC | Generac Holdings Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.18% |
| LAUR | Laureate Education, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.22% |
| PLNT | Planet Fitness, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.57% |
| SUM | Summit Materials, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.32% |
| BE | Bloom Energy Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 6.20% |
| BJRI | BJ's Restaurants, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.01% |
| CXW | CoreCivic, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| INFA | Informatica Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.10% |
| MMMB | MamaMancini's Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| PMO | Putnam Municipal Opportunities Trust | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.05% |
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| SLCA | U.S. Silica Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.02% |
| UNIT | Uniti Group Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.00% |