Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Ximei Resources Holding Limited (9936.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.25 - $11.51$9.19
Multi-Stage$18.39 - $20.29$19.32
Blended Fair Value$14.26
Current Price$3.68
Upside287.39%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.010.000.000.000.000.000.000.090.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.31%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%5.57%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)258.34
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)25.03
(=) Cash Retained (M)233.31
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)51.6732.2919.38
Cash Retained (M)233.31233.31233.31
(-) Cash Required (M)-51.67-32.29-19.38
(=) Excess Retained (M)181.64201.02213.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)358.94358.94358.94
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.510.560.60
LTM Dividend per Share0.070.070.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.510.560.60
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.580.630.67
WACC / Discount Rate5.79%5.79%5.79%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$7.25$9.19$11.51
Upside / Downside96.95%149.68%212.69%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)258.34255.76253.20250.67248.16245.68253.05
Payout Ratio9.69%25.75%41.81%57.88%73.94%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)25.0365.86105.87145.07183.48221.11234.07

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.79%5.79%5.79%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)61.6362.2662.89
Year 2 PV (M)92.7194.6196.53
Year 3 PV (M)118.87122.55126.30
Year 4 PV (M)140.69146.52152.53
Year 5 PV (M)158.65166.91175.51
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,029.206,343.156,670.05
Equity Value (M)6,601.746,935.997,283.80
Shares Outstanding (M)358.94358.94358.94
Fair Value$18.39$19.32$20.29
Upside / Downside399.79%425.10%451.43%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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