Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Keir International Co. (9542.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Communication EquipmentSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.14 - $3.13$2.62
Multi-Stage$3.72 - $4.09$3.90
Blended Fair Value$3.26
Current Price$3.71
Upside-12.17%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.030.070.080.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---62.72%-5.59%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.58%0.61%1.70%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)33.54
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7.83
(=) Cash Retained (M)25.71
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.714.192.52
Cash Retained (M)25.7125.7125.71
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.71-4.19-2.52
(=) Excess Retained (M)19.0021.5123.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)120.00120.00120.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.160.180.19
LTM Dividend per Share0.070.070.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.160.180.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.220.240.26
WACC / Discount Rate8.25%8.25%8.25%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$2.14$2.62$3.13
Upside / Downside-42.39%-29.47%-15.56%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)33.5433.2032.8732.5432.2131.8932.85
Payout Ratio23.35%36.68%50.01%63.34%76.67%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7.8312.1816.4420.6124.7028.7030.39

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.25%8.25%8.25%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)11.1411.2511.36
Year 2 PV (M)13.7414.0314.31
Year 3 PV (M)15.7616.2516.74
Year 4 PV (M)17.2717.9918.72
Year 5 PV (M)18.3519.3120.30
PV of Terminal Value (M)369.92389.19409.24
Equity Value (M)446.19468.00490.69
Shares Outstanding (M)120.00120.00120.00
Fair Value$3.72$3.90$4.09
Upside / Downside0.22%5.12%10.22%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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