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EXEDY Corporation (7278.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5,142.50 - $9,742.54$7,002.30
Multi-Stage$8,231.69 - $9,025.58$8,621.11
Blended Fair Value$7,811.71
Current Price$5,200.00
Upside50.23%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS10.08%6.18%185.20130.30118.1686.8893.01114.59120.91108.1489.0288.94
YoY Growth--42.14%10.27%36.01%-6.60%-18.83%-5.23%11.81%21.48%0.09%-12.56%
Dividend Yield--4.48%4.31%4.89%5.05%5.71%7.16%5.21%3.15%2.81%4.08%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)12,715.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9,678.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,037.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,543.001,589.38953.63
Cash Retained (M)3,037.003,037.003,037.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,543.00-1,589.38-953.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)494.001,447.632,083.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)37.8137.8137.81
(=) Excess Retained per Share13.0638.2855.10
LTM Dividend per Share255.95255.95255.95
(+) Excess Retained per Share13.0638.2855.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend269.01294.23311.05
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate1.24%2.24%3.24%
Fair Value$5,142.50$7,002.30$9,742.54
Upside / Downside-1.11%34.66%87.36%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)12,715.0013,000.2613,291.9113,590.1113,895.0014,206.7314,632.93
Payout Ratio76.11%78.89%81.67%84.45%87.22%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9,678.0010,256.1410,855.3611,476.2912,119.6312,786.0513,535.46

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate1.24%2.24%3.24%
Year 1 PV (M)9,532.449,626.609,720.75
Year 2 PV (M)9,377.449,563.609,751.59
Year 3 PV (M)9,214.299,490.039,771.22
Year 4 PV (M)9,044.199,406.849,780.29
Year 5 PV (M)8,868.239,314.939,779.46
PV of Terminal Value (M)265,222.43278,582.00292,474.57
Equity Value (M)311,259.02325,984.00341,277.88
Shares Outstanding (M)37.8137.8137.81
Fair Value$8,231.69$8,621.11$9,025.58
Upside / Downside58.30%65.79%73.57%

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