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Definitive Analysis

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MegaChips Corporation (6875.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11,226.55 - $31,927.72$29,920.95
Multi-Stage$4,590.86 - $5,014.83$4,798.99
Blended Fair Value$17,359.97
Current Price$7,430.00
Upside133.65%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS40.08%9.69%118.42102.44102.31103.1521.9221.9643.7843.5243.1345.00
YoY Growth--15.60%0.13%-0.81%370.53%-0.16%-49.85%0.60%0.91%-4.18%-4.16%
Dividend Yield--2.22%2.50%2.75%3.27%0.69%1.05%3.10%1.47%1.55%3.99%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,704.08
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,386.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)317.87
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)540.82338.01202.81
Cash Retained (M)317.87317.87317.87
(-) Cash Required (M)-540.82-338.01-202.81
(=) Excess Retained (M)-222.94-20.14115.07
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)16.8416.8416.84
(=) Excess Retained per Share-13.24-1.206.83
LTM Dividend per Share141.67141.67141.67
(+) Excess Retained per Share-13.24-1.206.83
(=) Adjusted Dividend128.43140.47148.50
WACC / Discount Rate6.71%6.71%6.71%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$11,226.55$29,920.95$31,927.72
Upside / Downside51.10%302.70%329.71%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,704.082,879.843,067.033,266.393,478.703,704.823,815.96
Payout Ratio88.24%88.60%88.95%89.30%89.65%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,386.202,551.422,728.032,916.813,118.623,334.343,529.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.71%6.71%6.71%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2,368.602,391.052,413.50
Year 2 PV (M)2,351.092,395.872,441.07
Year 3 PV (M)2,333.672,400.662,468.92
Year 4 PV (M)2,316.352,405.432,497.05
Year 5 PV (M)2,299.112,410.162,525.46
PV of Terminal Value (M)65,657.1468,828.4072,121.04
Equity Value (M)77,325.9580,831.5784,467.04
Shares Outstanding (M)16.8416.8416.84
Fair Value$4,590.86$4,798.99$5,014.83
Upside / Downside-38.21%-35.41%-32.51%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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