Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Kimou Environmental Holding Limited (6805.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Waste ManagementSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.89 - $2.90$2.36
Multi-Stage$4.19 - $4.61$4.39
Blended Fair Value$3.38
Current Price$1.71
Upside97.56%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.090.040.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--103.93%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--7.56%5.22%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)231.70
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)139.24
(=) Cash Retained (M)92.46
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)46.3428.9617.38
Cash Retained (M)92.4692.4692.46
(-) Cash Required (M)-46.34-28.96-17.38
(=) Excess Retained (M)46.1263.5075.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,108.011,108.011,108.01
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.040.060.07
LTM Dividend per Share0.130.130.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.040.060.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.170.180.19
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1.89$2.36$2.90
Upside / Downside10.65%38.21%69.72%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)231.70229.38227.09224.81222.57220.34226.95
Payout Ratio60.10%66.08%72.06%78.04%84.02%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)139.24151.57163.63175.44187.00198.31209.93

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)140.66142.10143.53
Year 2 PV (M)140.93143.82146.74
Year 3 PV (M)140.23144.57148.99
Year 4 PV (M)138.71144.46150.39
Year 5 PV (M)136.52143.63151.03
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,943.624,148.984,362.80
Equity Value (M)4,640.684,867.555,103.48
Shares Outstanding (M)1,108.011,108.011,108.01
Fair Value$4.19$4.39$4.61
Upside / Downside144.93%156.90%169.36%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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