Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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TDK Corporation (6762.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$13,237.76 - $15,596.33$14,616.04
Multi-Stage$10,177.48 - $11,168.94$10,663.95
Blended Fair Value$12,640.00
Current Price$1,695.50
Upside645.50%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS17.72%17.03%25.5522.1919.5812.6311.9711.309.977.977.967.30
YoY Growth--15.15%13.32%55.08%5.49%5.91%13.30%25.17%0.04%9.15%37.69%
Dividend Yield--1.51%1.12%1.76%1.51%1.33%1.59%1.68%1.06%1.62%1.93%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)148,996.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)56,975.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)92,021.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)29,799.2018,624.5011,174.70
Cash Retained (M)92,021.0092,021.0092,021.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-29,799.20-18,624.50-11,174.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)62,221.8073,396.5080,846.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,899.911,899.911,899.91
(=) Excess Retained per Share32.7538.6342.55
LTM Dividend per Share29.9929.9929.99
(+) Excess Retained per Share32.7538.6342.55
(=) Adjusted Dividend62.7468.6272.54
WACC / Discount Rate-0.17%-0.17%-0.17%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$13,237.76$14,616.04$15,596.33
Upside / Downside680.76%762.05%819.87%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)148,996.00158,680.74168,994.99179,979.66191,678.34204,137.43210,261.56
Payout Ratio38.24%48.59%58.94%69.30%79.65%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)56,975.0077,105.2399,611.68124,718.19152,667.69183,723.69194,491.94

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-0.17%-0.17%-0.17%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)76,514.0777,239.3277,964.57
Year 2 PV (M)98,090.0999,958.43101,844.40
Year 3 PV (M)121,871.50125,369.99128,934.80
Year 4 PV (M)148,039.27153,732.44159,588.26
Year 5 PV (M)176,787.84185,326.76194,192.48
PV of Terminal Value (M)18,714,957.4519,618,896.8920,557,432.22
Equity Value (M)19,336,260.2120,260,523.8321,219,956.74
Shares Outstanding (M)1,899.911,899.911,899.91
Fair Value$10,177.48$10,663.95$11,168.94
Upside / Downside500.26%528.96%558.74%

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