Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Hitachi, Ltd. (6501.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConglomeratesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3,352.36 - $9,340.05$5,202.71
Multi-Stage$2,281.47 - $2,491.97$2,384.82
Blended Fair Value$3,793.76
Current Price$4,205.00
Upside-9.78%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS15.57%13.05%41.1431.4128.0724.1821.0219.9516.8014.7012.6112.60
YoY Growth--30.98%11.89%16.06%15.05%5.36%18.79%14.25%16.63%0.05%4.44%
Dividend Yield--0.98%0.84%1.58%1.88%1.65%2.93%2.08%1.88%1.83%2.97%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)632,603.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)197,841.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)434,762.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)126,520.6079,075.3847,445.23
Cash Retained (M)434,762.00434,762.00434,762.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-126,520.60-79,075.38-47,445.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)308,241.40355,686.63387,316.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4,595.854,595.854,595.85
(=) Excess Retained per Share67.0777.3984.28
LTM Dividend per Share43.0543.0543.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share67.0777.3984.28
(=) Adjusted Dividend110.12120.44127.32
WACC / Discount Rate8.97%8.97%8.97%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$3,352.36$5,202.71$9,340.05
Upside / Downside-20.28%23.73%122.12%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)632,603.00673,722.20717,514.14764,152.56813,822.47866,720.93892,722.56
Payout Ratio31.27%43.02%54.76%66.51%78.25%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)197,841.00289,830.53392,942.81508,235.17636,855.34780,048.84825,768.37

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.97%8.97%8.97%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)263,486.41265,983.91268,481.41
Year 2 PV (M)324,756.27330,941.96337,186.01
Year 3 PV (M)381,862.49392,824.39403,994.09
Year 4 PV (M)435,007.93451,737.11468,944.23
Year 5 PV (M)484,386.77507,782.83532,074.32
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,595,806.089,010,986.739,442,057.32
Equity Value (M)10,485,305.9510,960,256.9311,452,737.37
Shares Outstanding (M)4,595.854,595.854,595.85
Fair Value$2,281.47$2,384.82$2,491.97
Upside / Downside-45.74%-43.29%-40.74%

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