Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Takakita Co., Ltd. (6325.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$823.93 - $1,868.16$1,197.33
Multi-Stage$669.22 - $732.57$700.31
Blended Fair Value$948.82
Current Price$375.00
Upside153.02%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS7.71%6.52%14.7312.709.9910.1210.1910.1610.1413.179.127.45
YoY Growth--15.93%27.21%-1.35%-0.69%0.32%0.16%-22.96%44.38%22.47%-4.91%
Dividend Yield--3.93%2.71%2.15%1.98%1.61%1.70%1.81%1.87%1.75%1.45%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)465.86
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)44.39
(=) Cash Retained (M)421.47
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)93.1758.2334.94
Cash Retained (M)421.47421.47421.47
(-) Cash Required (M)-93.17-58.23-34.94
(=) Excess Retained (M)328.30363.24386.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.3511.3511.35
(=) Excess Retained per Share28.9231.9934.05
LTM Dividend per Share3.913.913.91
(+) Excess Retained per Share28.9231.9934.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend32.8335.9037.96
WACC / Discount Rate8.68%8.68%8.68%
Growth Rate4.52%5.52%6.52%
Fair Value$823.93$1,197.33$1,868.16
Upside / Downside119.71%219.29%398.18%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)465.86491.57518.70547.32577.53609.40627.68
Payout Ratio9.53%25.62%41.72%57.81%73.91%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)44.39125.96216.39316.42426.83548.46580.61

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.68%8.68%8.68%
Growth Rate4.52%5.52%6.52%
Year 1 PV (M)114.80115.89116.99
Year 2 PV (M)179.74183.19186.68
Year 3 PV (M)239.54246.48253.55
Year 4 PV (M)294.49305.92317.68
Year 5 PV (M)344.88361.69379.16
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,424.536,737.817,063.19
Equity Value (M)7,597.977,950.998,317.26
Shares Outstanding (M)11.3511.3511.35
Fair Value$669.22$700.31$732.57
Upside / Downside78.46%86.75%95.35%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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