Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Tong Hsing Electronic Industries, Ltd. (6271.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$128.87 - $263.94$180.67
Multi-Stage$183.40 - $201.36$192.21
Blended Fair Value$186.44
Current Price$107.00
Upside74.24%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-12.75%-7.88%2.405.977.684.702.764.744.744.674.674.67
YoY Growth---59.85%-22.30%63.62%69.85%-41.67%0.00%1.50%0.00%0.00%-14.29%
Dividend Yield--2.17%3.97%5.03%1.89%1.58%3.86%4.11%3.32%3.08%4.44%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,561.21
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)501.74
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,059.47
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)312.24195.15117.09
Cash Retained (M)1,059.471,059.471,059.47
(-) Cash Required (M)-312.24-195.15-117.09
(=) Excess Retained (M)747.23864.32942.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)209.30209.30209.30
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.574.134.50
LTM Dividend per Share2.402.402.40
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.574.134.50
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.976.536.90
WACC / Discount Rate6.50%6.50%6.50%
Growth Rate1.79%2.79%3.79%
Fair Value$128.87$180.67$263.94
Upside / Downside20.44%68.85%146.67%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,561.211,604.721,649.441,695.401,742.651,791.221,844.95
Payout Ratio32.14%43.71%55.28%66.86%78.43%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)501.74701.43911.851,133.471,366.721,612.101,706.58

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.50%6.50%6.50%
Growth Rate1.79%2.79%3.79%
Year 1 PV (M)652.21658.62665.02
Year 2 PV (M)788.38803.95819.66
Year 3 PV (M)911.22938.34965.99
Year 4 PV (M)1,021.641,062.391,104.34
Year 5 PV (M)1,120.511,176.641,235.00
PV of Terminal Value (M)33,891.4235,589.2737,354.50
Equity Value (M)38,385.3740,229.2042,144.53
Shares Outstanding (M)209.30209.30209.30
Fair Value$183.40$192.21$201.36
Upside / Downside71.40%79.63%88.18%

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