Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Motech Industries Inc. (6244.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SolarSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.77 - $2.41$2.10
Multi-Stage$4.69 - $5.16$4.92
Blended Fair Value$3.51
Current Price$17.45
Upside-79.89%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%-5.58%0.320.440.180.180.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---28.89%145.28%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--1.58%1.61%0.49%0.55%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)141.46
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)139.34
(=) Cash Retained (M)2.13
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)28.2917.6810.61
Cash Retained (M)2.132.132.13
(-) Cash Required (M)-28.29-17.68-10.61
(=) Excess Retained (M)-26.16-15.55-8.48
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)391.73391.73391.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.07-0.04-0.02
LTM Dividend per Share0.360.360.36
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.07-0.04-0.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.290.320.33
WACC / Discount Rate7.50%7.50%7.50%
Growth Rate-7.58%-6.58%-5.58%
Fair Value$1.77$2.10$2.41
Upside / Downside-89.86%-87.99%-86.18%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)141.46132.15123.46115.33107.74100.65103.67
Payout Ratio98.50%96.80%95.10%93.40%91.70%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)139.34127.92117.40107.7298.8090.5895.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.50%7.50%7.50%
Growth Rate-7.58%-6.58%-5.58%
Year 1 PV (M)117.72118.99120.27
Year 2 PV (M)99.43101.59103.78
Year 3 PV (M)83.9586.7089.52
Year 4 PV (M)70.8673.9877.19
Year 5 PV (M)59.7963.0966.54
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,406.131,483.871,565.01
Equity Value (M)1,837.871,928.232,022.31
Shares Outstanding (M)391.73391.73391.73
Fair Value$4.69$4.92$5.16
Upside / Downside-73.11%-71.79%-70.42%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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