Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Shanghai Sheng Jian Environment Technology Co., Ltd. (603324.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - Pollution & Treatment ControlsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8.03 - $18.17$11.66
Multi-Stage$7.65 - $8.39$8.01
Blended Fair Value$9.84
Current Price$27.50
Upside-64.23%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS39.06%0.00%0.280.180.340.260.040.050.050.010.000.00
YoY Growth--56.40%-47.63%27.80%613.11%-30.34%6.21%252.25%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.03%0.86%1.16%0.86%0.16%0.22%0.21%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)59.13
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8.03
(=) Cash Retained (M)51.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11.837.394.43
Cash Retained (M)51.1051.1051.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-11.83-7.39-4.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)39.2843.7146.67
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)146.26146.26146.26
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.270.300.32
LTM Dividend per Share0.050.050.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.270.300.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.320.350.37
WACC / Discount Rate7.79%7.79%7.79%
Growth Rate3.61%4.61%5.61%
Fair Value$8.03$11.66$18.17
Upside / Downside-70.80%-57.60%-33.93%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)59.1361.8664.7167.7070.8274.0876.31
Payout Ratio13.58%28.86%44.15%59.43%74.72%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8.0317.8628.5740.2352.9166.6870.58

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.79%7.79%7.79%
Growth Rate3.61%4.61%5.61%
Year 1 PV (M)16.4116.5716.72
Year 2 PV (M)24.1224.5925.06
Year 3 PV (M)31.2232.1333.06
Year 4 PV (M)37.7339.2040.72
Year 5 PV (M)43.6845.8348.06
PV of Terminal Value (M)966.261,013.801,063.19
Equity Value (M)1,119.411,172.121,226.82
Shares Outstanding (M)146.26146.26146.26
Fair Value$7.65$8.01$8.39
Upside / Downside-72.17%-70.86%-69.50%

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