Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Zhejiang E-P Equipment Co Ltd (603194.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$52.21 - $148.39$81.53
Multi-Stage$189.46 - $209.35$199.20
Blended Fair Value$140.37
Current Price$45.04
Upside211.65%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.040.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.09%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)875.28
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)256.18
(=) Cash Retained (M)619.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)175.06109.4165.65
Cash Retained (M)619.10619.10619.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-175.06-109.41-65.65
(=) Excess Retained (M)444.04509.69553.45
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)384.33384.33384.33
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.161.331.44
LTM Dividend per Share0.670.670.67
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.161.331.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.821.992.11
WACC / Discount Rate1.42%1.42%1.42%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$52.21$81.53$148.39
Upside / Downside15.93%81.02%229.47%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)875.28866.53857.86849.28840.79832.38857.35
Payout Ratio29.27%41.41%53.56%65.71%77.85%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)256.18358.87459.48558.04654.59749.14793.05

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.42%1.42%1.42%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)350.27353.85357.42
Year 2 PV (M)437.73446.71455.78
Year 3 PV (M)518.89534.93551.31
Year 4 PV (M)594.08618.70644.08
Year 5 PV (M)663.60698.16734.14
PV of Terminal Value (M)70,249.9573,908.0377,716.93
Equity Value (M)72,814.5276,560.3880,459.66
Shares Outstanding (M)384.33384.33384.33
Fair Value$189.46$199.20$209.35
Upside / Downside320.64%342.28%364.81%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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