Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Sinoma International Engineering Co.Ltd (600970.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$104.89 - $227.31$213.03
Multi-Stage$34.47 - $37.73$36.07
Blended Fair Value$124.55
Current Price$8.93
Upside1,294.72%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS20.29%25.82%0.590.440.520.320.500.230.190.100.120.06
YoY Growth--33.85%-15.42%60.17%-35.85%116.57%24.77%83.05%-15.06%87.22%8.66%
Dividend Yield--6.11%3.74%4.63%3.37%5.35%3.85%2.29%1.14%1.12%1.01%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,997.06
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,325.35
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,671.71
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)599.41374.63224.78
Cash Retained (M)1,671.711,671.711,671.71
(-) Cash Required (M)-599.41-374.63-224.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,072.291,297.071,446.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,622.112,622.112,622.11
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.410.490.55
LTM Dividend per Share0.510.510.51
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.410.490.55
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.911.001.06
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$104.89$213.03$227.31
Upside / Downside1,074.53%2,285.51%2,445.50%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,997.063,191.873,399.343,620.303,855.624,106.234,229.42
Payout Ratio44.22%53.38%62.53%71.69%80.84%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,325.351,703.742,125.712,595.343,117.053,695.613,912.21

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,585.931,600.961,615.99
Year 2 PV (M)1,841.901,876.981,912.40
Year 3 PV (M)2,093.332,153.422,214.65
Year 4 PV (M)2,340.272,430.272,522.84
Year 5 PV (M)2,582.792,707.542,837.06
PV of Terminal Value (M)79,952.1983,813.9187,823.43
Equity Value (M)90,396.4094,583.0898,926.37
Shares Outstanding (M)2,622.112,622.112,622.11
Fair Value$34.47$36.07$37.73
Upside / Downside286.05%303.93%322.48%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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