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Jiang Zhong Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd (600750.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$108.64 - $264.85$248.21
Multi-Stage$40.09 - $43.80$41.91
Blended Fair Value$145.06
Current Price$21.93
Upside561.46%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS39.21%20.01%1.221.271.170.490.260.230.210.190.200.19
YoY Growth---4.00%9.19%137.48%88.95%11.14%8.89%11.67%-2.33%2.46%-2.56%
Dividend Yield--5.43%5.21%5.83%3.68%2.47%2.44%1.75%1.57%1.14%1.49%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)837.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)779.61
(=) Cash Retained (M)57.70
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)167.46104.6662.80
Cash Retained (M)57.7057.7057.70
(-) Cash Required (M)-167.46-104.66-62.80
(=) Excess Retained (M)-109.76-46.97-5.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)628.72628.72628.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.17-0.07-0.01
LTM Dividend per Share1.241.241.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.17-0.07-0.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.071.171.23
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$108.64$248.21$264.85
Upside / Downside395.38%1,031.81%1,107.72%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)837.30891.73949.691,011.421,077.161,147.181,181.59
Payout Ratio93.11%92.49%91.87%91.24%90.62%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)779.61824.74872.44922.86976.141,032.461,092.97

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)766.88774.15781.42
Year 2 PV (M)754.32768.69783.20
Year 3 PV (M)741.94763.24784.94
Year 4 PV (M)729.73757.79786.66
Year 5 PV (M)717.68752.35788.34
PV of Terminal Value (M)21,494.2822,532.4623,610.38
Equity Value (M)25,204.8326,348.6827,534.93
Shares Outstanding (M)628.72628.72628.72
Fair Value$40.09$41.91$43.80
Upside / Downside82.80%91.10%99.70%

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