Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Tongling Jingda Special Magnet Wire Co., Ltd. (600577.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.67 - $17.89$10.24
Multi-Stage$4.61 - $5.03$4.81
Blended Fair Value$7.52
Current Price$10.40
Upside-27.65%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS30.32%16.84%0.230.170.090.090.140.060.100.150.070.08
YoY Growth--33.44%91.83%1.06%-36.81%129.97%-37.22%-33.10%101.59%-4.06%55.34%
Dividend Yield--3.24%3.41%2.14%1.73%3.90%2.28%2.68%3.41%1.19%1.68%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)596.74
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)204.17
(=) Cash Retained (M)392.57
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)119.3574.5944.76
Cash Retained (M)392.57392.57392.57
(-) Cash Required (M)-119.35-74.59-44.76
(=) Excess Retained (M)273.22317.98347.82
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,115.322,115.322,115.32
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.130.150.16
LTM Dividend per Share0.100.100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.130.150.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.230.250.26
WACC / Discount Rate9.07%9.07%9.07%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$6.67$10.24$17.89
Upside / Downside-35.84%-1.58%71.97%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)596.74635.53676.83720.83767.68817.58842.11
Payout Ratio34.21%45.37%56.53%67.69%78.84%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)204.17288.34382.60487.90605.26735.82778.95

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.07%9.07%9.07%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)261.89264.37266.85
Year 2 PV (M)315.61321.62327.69
Year 3 PV (M)365.54376.04386.73
Year 4 PV (M)411.87427.71444.00
Year 5 PV (M)454.77476.74499.54
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,933.308,316.498,714.33
Equity Value (M)9,742.9910,182.9610,639.15
Shares Outstanding (M)2,115.322,115.322,115.32
Fair Value$4.61$4.81$5.03
Upside / Downside-55.71%-53.71%-51.64%

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