Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Henan Pinggao Electric Co.,Ltd. (600312.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$142.87 - $168.32$157.74
Multi-Stage$97.73 - $107.25$102.40
Blended Fair Value$130.07
Current Price$16.78
Upside675.16%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS17.12%16.88%0.350.070.040.060.110.160.230.680.480.48
YoY Growth--425.76%81.88%-41.13%-45.24%-28.51%-30.38%-66.11%40.81%1.46%540.22%
Dividend Yield--2.03%0.48%0.38%0.78%1.68%1.97%2.63%7.48%2.86%3.05%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,148.49
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)393.74
(=) Cash Retained (M)754.76
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)229.70143.5686.14
Cash Retained (M)754.76754.76754.76
(-) Cash Required (M)-229.70-143.56-86.14
(=) Excess Retained (M)525.06611.20668.62
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,356.961,356.961,356.96
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.390.450.49
LTM Dividend per Share0.290.290.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.390.450.49
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.680.740.78
WACC / Discount Rate2.20%2.20%2.20%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$142.87$157.74$168.32
Upside / Downside751.42%840.06%903.11%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,148.491,223.151,302.651,387.321,477.501,573.541,620.74
Payout Ratio34.28%45.43%56.57%67.71%78.86%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)393.74555.63736.91939.401,165.111,416.181,499.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.20%2.20%2.20%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)538.58543.69548.79
Year 2 PV (M)692.38705.57718.88
Year 3 PV (M)855.56880.12905.14
Year 4 PV (M)1,028.561,068.121,108.80
Year 5 PV (M)1,211.851,270.391,331.16
PV of Terminal Value (M)128,288.20134,484.57140,918.09
Equity Value (M)132,615.14138,952.45145,530.87
Shares Outstanding (M)1,356.961,356.961,356.96
Fair Value$97.73$102.40$107.25
Upside / Downside482.42%510.25%539.14%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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