Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Guangxi Guiguan Electric PowerCo.,Ltd. (600236.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated ElectricSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.14 - $4.93$3.96
Multi-Stage$7.08 - $7.79$7.43
Blended Fair Value$5.70
Current Price$6.57
Upside-13.32%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-3.13%1.35%0.290.370.250.310.320.330.410.270.390.33
YoY Growth---23.53%49.09%-20.35%-2.21%-3.93%-17.72%52.30%-31.55%17.15%33.34%
Dividend Yield--4.43%6.35%4.50%5.90%5.76%7.32%8.84%6.11%7.68%7.17%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,538.72
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,090.45
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,448.27
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)507.74317.34190.40
Cash Retained (M)1,448.271,448.271,448.27
(-) Cash Required (M)-507.74-317.34-190.40
(=) Excess Retained (M)940.531,130.931,257.86
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)7,920.567,920.567,920.56
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.120.140.16
LTM Dividend per Share0.140.140.14
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.120.140.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.260.280.30
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate-1.70%-0.70%0.30%
Fair Value$3.14$3.96$4.93
Upside / Downside-52.22%-39.70%-24.93%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,538.722,520.992,503.382,485.902,468.542,451.302,524.84
Payout Ratio42.95%52.36%61.77%71.18%80.59%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,090.451,320.051,546.381,769.491,989.412,206.172,335.48

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate-1.70%-0.70%0.30%
Year 1 PV (M)1,228.951,241.451,253.95
Year 2 PV (M)1,340.301,367.711,395.40
Year 3 PV (M)1,427.841,471.861,516.77
Year 4 PV (M)1,494.511,556.251,619.89
Year 5 PV (M)1,542.961,623.061,706.44
PV of Terminal Value (M)49,032.5651,577.8054,227.67
Equity Value (M)56,067.1258,838.1361,720.12
Shares Outstanding (M)7,920.567,920.567,920.56
Fair Value$7.08$7.43$7.79
Upside / Downside7.74%13.07%18.61%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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