Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $23.44 - $44.65 | $41.84 |
| Multi-Stage | $7.06 - $7.72 | $7.39 |
| Blended Fair Value | $24.61 | |
| Current Price | $2.00 | |
| Upside | 1,130.69% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 35.30% | -6.27% | 0.07 | 0.08 | 0.20 | 0.07 | 0.04 | 0.01 | 0.08 | 0.13 | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | -20.00% | -58.54% | 192.86% | 100.00% | 133.34% | -80.00% | -42.31% | 62.50% | 0.00% | -38.46% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 3.47% | 4.62% | 11.65% | 2.77% | 1.90% | 1.11% | 4.36% | 5.22% | 3.09% | 3.31% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 179.53 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 99.96 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 79.57 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 35.91 | 22.44 | 13.47 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 79.57 | 79.57 | 79.57 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -35.91 | -22.44 | -13.47 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 43.67 | 57.13 | 66.11 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 799.69 | 799.69 | 799.69 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 0.05 | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 0.05 | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 0.18 | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.31% | 6.31% | 6.31% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Fair Value | $23.44 | $41.84 | $44.65 |
| Upside / Downside | 1,072.17% | 1,992.11% | 2,132.43% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 179.53 | 191.20 | 203.63 | 216.87 | 230.96 | 245.98 | 253.36 |
| Payout Ratio | 55.68% | 62.54% | 69.41% | 76.27% | 83.14% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 99.96 | 119.58 | 141.33 | 165.41 | 192.01 | 221.38 | 234.35 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.31% | 6.31% | 6.31% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 111.43 | 112.49 | 113.54 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 122.72 | 125.06 | 127.42 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 133.83 | 137.68 | 141.59 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 144.77 | 150.34 | 156.06 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 155.53 | 163.04 | 170.84 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 4,976.84 | 5,217.23 | 5,466.81 |
| Equity Value (M) | 5,645.13 | 5,905.83 | 6,176.27 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 799.69 | 799.69 | 799.69 |
| Fair Value | $7.06 | $7.39 | $7.72 |
| Upside / Downside | 252.96% | 269.26% | 286.17% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LZOEX | Lazard Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio | 0.09% | $0.02 | 36.87% |
| PWR | Quanta Services, Inc. | 0.09% | $0.39 | 5.78% |
| AAMI | Acadian Asset Management | 0.08% | $0.04 | 1.59% |
| PDLB | Ponce Financial Group, Inc. | 0.08% | $0.01 | 1.31% |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings Co | 0.08% | $0.15 | 5.48% |
| 0J46.L | HEICO Corporation | 0.07% | $0.23 | 4.98% |
| 0JYM.L | Markel Corporation | 0.07% | $1.41 | 0.87% |
| CHCI | Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. | 0.06% | $0.01 | 0.56% |
| MTVC | Motive Capital Corp II | 0.06% | $0.01 | 2.21% |
| ENJ | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.0% Series due December 1, 2052 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| ENO | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.50% Series due April 1, 2066 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| AJRD | Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. | 0.04% | $0.02 | 2.70% |
| ERES | East Resources Acquisition Company | 0.04% | $0.00 | 1.55% |
| NBN | Northeast Bank | 0.04% | $0.04 | 0.38% |
| ARHS | Arhaus, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.61% |
| BSIG | BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. | 0.03% | $0.01 | 0.34% |
| EWCZ | European Wax Center, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.37% |
| WIRE | Encore Wire Corporation | 0.03% | $0.08 | 0.42% |
| ACFN | Acorn Energy, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.09% |
| ACMR | ACM Research, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.01 | 0.62% |
| CFB | CrossFirst Bankshares, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.21% |
| FDSB | Fifth District Savings Bank | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.35% |
| GRDN | Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.75% |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | $0.04 | 0.98% |
| AMG | Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.04 | 0.23% |
| BSX-PA | Boston Scientific Corporation | 0.01% | $0.02 | 0.82% |
| FIGR | Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. Class A Common Stock | 0.01% | $0.00 | 2.22% |
| GNRC | Generac Holdings Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.18% |
| LAUR | Laureate Education, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.22% |
| PLNT | Planet Fitness, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.57% |
| SUM | Summit Materials, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.32% |
| BE | Bloom Energy Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 6.20% |
| BJRI | BJ's Restaurants, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.01% |
| CXW | CoreCivic, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| INFA | Informatica Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.10% |
| MMMB | MamaMancini's Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| PMO | Putnam Municipal Opportunities Trust | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.05% |
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| SLCA | U.S. Silica Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.02% |
| UNIT | Uniti Group Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.00% |