Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Hdhms (443060.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Aerospace & DefenseSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$40,365.25 - $57,672.46$48,855.80
Multi-Stage$67,304.68 - $73,660.75$70,422.26
Blended Fair Value$59,639.03
Current Price$210,000.00
Upside-71.60%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%2,234.882,011.341,787.864,246.163,575.720.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--11.11%12.50%-57.89%18.75%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.67%1.23%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)264,473.71
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)183,799.76
(=) Cash Retained (M)80,673.95
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)52,894.7433,059.2119,835.53
Cash Retained (M)80,673.9580,673.9580,673.95
(-) Cash Required (M)-52,894.74-33,059.21-19,835.53
(=) Excess Retained (M)27,779.2147,614.7460,838.42
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)44.7544.7544.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share620.821,064.111,359.63
LTM Dividend per Share4,107.604,107.604,107.60
(+) Excess Retained per Share620.821,064.111,359.63
(=) Adjusted Dividend4,728.425,171.715,467.23
WACC / Discount Rate9.48%9.48%9.48%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$40,365.25$48,855.80$57,672.46
Upside / Downside-80.78%-76.74%-72.54%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)264,473.71261,828.98259,210.69256,618.58254,052.39251,511.87259,057.23
Payout Ratio69.50%73.60%77.70%81.80%85.90%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)183,799.76192,698.63201,401.13209,910.32218,229.19226,360.68239,627.93

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.48%9.48%9.48%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)174,235.05176,012.96177,790.86
Year 2 PV (M)164,655.30168,032.76171,444.50
Year 3 PV (M)155,168.83159,967.53164,864.16
Year 4 PV (M)145,861.42151,906.69158,137.96
Year 5 PV (M)136,799.81143,923.29151,340.48
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,234,912.672,351,289.752,472,465.15
Equity Value (M)3,011,633.073,151,132.983,296,043.12
Shares Outstanding (M)44.7544.7544.75
Fair Value$67,304.68$70,422.26$73,660.75
Upside / Downside-67.95%-66.47%-64.92%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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