Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Jadwa REIT Al Haramain Fund (4332.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - Hotel & MotelSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.90 - $11.80$9.75
Multi-Stage$14.80 - $16.30$15.53
Blended Fair Value$12.64
Current Price$5.27
Upside139.90%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.200.540.540.150.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-62.96%0.00%260.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%2.68%6.60%7.20%1.46%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)63.25
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8.58
(=) Cash Retained (M)54.67
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)12.657.914.74
Cash Retained (M)54.6754.6754.67
(-) Cash Required (M)-12.65-7.91-4.74
(=) Excess Retained (M)42.0246.7749.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)66.0066.0066.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.640.710.76
LTM Dividend per Share0.130.130.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.640.710.76
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.770.840.89
WACC / Discount Rate7.51%7.51%7.51%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$7.90$9.75$11.80
Upside / Downside49.85%85.02%123.87%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)63.2562.6261.9961.3760.7660.1561.96
Payout Ratio13.56%28.85%44.14%59.43%74.71%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8.5818.0727.3636.4745.3954.1457.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.51%7.51%7.51%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)16.6316.8016.97
Year 2 PV (M)23.2023.6724.15
Year 3 PV (M)28.4729.3530.24
Year 4 PV (M)32.6233.9735.37
Year 5 PV (M)35.8237.6839.63
PV of Terminal Value (M)840.03883.78929.32
Equity Value (M)976.771,025.261,075.69
Shares Outstanding (M)66.0066.0066.00
Fair Value$14.80$15.53$16.30
Upside / Downside180.83%194.77%209.27%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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