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Definitive Analysis

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HPSP Co., Ltd. (403870.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$70,959.04 - $201,803.84$189,119.75
Multi-Stage$28,420.90 - $31,077.85$29,725.09
Blended Fair Value$109,422.42
Current Price$33,750.00
Upside224.21%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS143.12%0.00%91.6822.210.00244.9892.921.0883.670.000.000.00
YoY Growth--312.86%0.00%-100.00%163.66%8,508.32%-98.71%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.35%0.04%0.00%2.27%0.86%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)82,868.45
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)48,219.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)34,649.24
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)16,573.6910,358.566,215.13
Cash Retained (M)34,649.2434,649.2434,649.24
(-) Cash Required (M)-16,573.69-10,358.56-6,215.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)18,075.5524,290.6928,434.11
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)81.6781.6781.67
(=) Excess Retained per Share221.34297.44348.18
LTM Dividend per Share590.45590.45590.45
(+) Excess Retained per Share221.34297.44348.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend811.78887.89938.62
WACC / Discount Rate6.71%6.71%6.71%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$70,959.04$189,119.75$201,803.84
Upside / Downside110.25%460.35%497.94%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)82,868.4588,254.8993,991.46100,100.91106,607.47113,536.95116,943.06
Payout Ratio58.19%64.55%70.91%77.28%83.64%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)48,219.2056,968.6466,651.7877,353.0489,163.85102,183.26108,172.33

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.71%6.71%6.71%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)52,886.6553,387.9553,889.24
Year 2 PV (M)57,442.3558,536.4659,640.90
Year 3 PV (M)61,888.2263,664.8165,475.07
Year 4 PV (M)66,226.1768,773.0471,392.68
Year 5 PV (M)70,458.0773,861.2377,394.62
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,012,112.342,109,298.122,210,203.42
Equity Value (M)2,321,013.802,427,521.602,537,995.94
Shares Outstanding (M)81.6781.6781.67
Fair Value$28,420.90$29,725.09$31,077.85
Upside / Downside-15.79%-11.93%-7.92%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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