Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Dr. Sulaiman Al Habib Medical Services Group Company (4013.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Care FacilitiesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$292.70 - $1,339.47$666.20
Multi-Stage$157.98 - $172.52$165.12
Blended Fair Value$415.66
Current Price$271.20
Upside53.27%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS12.69%0.00%4.694.103.252.701.502.582.251.480.571.80
YoY Growth--14.39%26.15%20.37%80.00%-41.88%14.57%52.51%158.70%-68.28%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.67%1.34%1.12%1.42%1.21%4.70%4.10%2.69%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,357.34
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,652.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)705.34
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)471.47294.67176.80
Cash Retained (M)705.34705.34705.34
(-) Cash Required (M)-471.47-294.67-176.80
(=) Excess Retained (M)233.87410.67528.54
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)350.00350.00350.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.671.171.51
LTM Dividend per Share4.724.724.72
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.671.171.51
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.395.896.23
WACC / Discount Rate7.44%7.44%7.44%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$292.70$666.20$1,339.47
Upside / Downside7.93%145.65%393.90%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,357.342,510.572,673.762,847.553,032.643,229.763,326.66
Payout Ratio70.08%74.06%78.05%82.03%86.02%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,652.001,859.412,086.802,335.892,608.552,906.793,077.16

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.44%7.44%7.44%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,714.361,730.611,746.86
Year 2 PV (M)1,773.931,807.721,841.83
Year 3 PV (M)1,830.781,883.341,936.89
Year 4 PV (M)1,885.001,957.502,032.06
Year 5 PV (M)1,936.672,030.212,127.33
PV of Terminal Value (M)46,153.0648,382.2850,696.80
Equity Value (M)55,293.8157,791.6560,381.77
Shares Outstanding (M)350.00350.00350.00
Fair Value$157.98$165.12$172.52
Upside / Downside-41.75%-39.12%-36.39%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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