Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Teijin Limited (3401.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConglomeratesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,917.31 - $3,434.46$2,554.28
Multi-Stage$3,392.91 - $3,729.23$3,557.83
Blended Fair Value$3,056.06
Current Price$1,258.50
Upside142.83%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-10.51%6.96%39.9827.4654.8552.3154.7869.6760.6461.2545.9125.50
YoY Growth--45.60%-49.94%4.85%-4.50%-21.37%14.88%-0.98%33.39%80.08%25.04%
Dividend Yield--3.42%2.05%3.80%3.70%3.24%4.06%3.24%3.01%2.12%1.51%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)26,906.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9,635.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)17,271.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5,381.203,363.252,017.95
Cash Retained (M)17,271.0017,271.0017,271.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-5,381.20-3,363.25-2,017.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)11,889.8013,907.7515,253.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)192.73192.73192.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share61.6972.1679.14
LTM Dividend per Share49.9949.9949.99
(+) Excess Retained per Share61.6972.1679.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend111.68122.15129.13
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate0.49%1.49%2.49%
Fair Value$1,917.31$2,554.28$3,434.46
Upside / Downside52.35%102.96%172.90%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)26,906.0027,307.1427,714.2628,127.4528,546.7928,972.3929,841.57
Payout Ratio35.81%46.65%57.49%68.32%79.16%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9,635.0012,738.2015,931.7919,217.7822,598.2026,075.1527,603.45

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate0.49%1.49%2.49%
Year 1 PV (M)11,860.2211,978.2412,096.27
Year 2 PV (M)13,811.2814,087.5214,366.50
Year 3 PV (M)15,511.6115,979.3116,456.32
Year 4 PV (M)16,982.9217,669.0718,375.81
Year 5 PV (M)18,245.2519,171.3120,134.59
PV of Terminal Value (M)577,503.89606,815.63637,305.66
Equity Value (M)653,915.17685,701.09718,735.15
Shares Outstanding (M)192.73192.73192.73
Fair Value$3,392.91$3,557.83$3,729.23
Upside / Downside169.60%182.70%196.32%

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