Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Phil Company,Inc. (3267.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,508.57 - $4,789.52$2,430.46
Multi-Stage$5,139.18 - $5,679.76$5,404.04
Blended Fair Value$3,917.25
Current Price$984.00
Upside298.09%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%5.020.0010.480.015.260.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--117,030.43%-99.96%102,234.55%-99.81%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.63%0.00%0.93%0.00%0.24%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)328.86
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)53.86
(=) Cash Retained (M)275.01
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)65.7741.1124.66
Cash Retained (M)275.01275.01275.01
(-) Cash Required (M)-65.77-41.11-24.66
(=) Excess Retained (M)209.23233.90250.34
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)5.375.375.37
(=) Excess Retained per Share38.9643.5646.62
LTM Dividend per Share10.0310.0310.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share38.9643.5646.62
(=) Adjusted Dividend48.9953.5956.65
WACC / Discount Rate1.18%1.18%1.18%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1,508.57$2,430.46$4,789.52
Upside / Downside53.31%147.00%386.74%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)328.86325.57322.32319.09315.90312.74322.13
Payout Ratio16.38%31.10%45.83%60.55%75.28%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)53.86101.26147.70193.21237.80281.47297.97

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.18%1.18%1.18%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)99.06100.07101.08
Year 2 PV (M)141.37144.27147.20
Year 3 PV (M)180.92186.52192.23
Year 4 PV (M)217.84226.87236.18
Year 5 PV (M)252.26265.40279.08
PV of Terminal Value (M)26,704.8328,095.4229,543.33
Equity Value (M)27,596.3029,018.5530,499.10
Shares Outstanding (M)5.375.375.37
Fair Value$5,139.18$5,404.04$5,679.76
Upside / Downside422.27%449.19%477.21%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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