Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Imeik Technology Development Co.,Ltd. (300896.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Instruments & SuppliesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$254.74 - $966.66$742.05
Multi-Stage$124.24 - $135.68$129.86
Blended Fair Value$435.95
Current Price$181.55
Upside140.13%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS61.86%0.00%1.663.331.511.400.000.150.160.070.000.00
YoY Growth---50.25%121.14%8.00%0.00%-100.00%-9.42%145.65%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.92%1.33%0.38%0.41%0.00%0.11%0.12%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,465.35
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,145.42
(=) Cash Retained (M)319.93
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)293.07183.17109.90
Cash Retained (M)319.93319.93319.93
(-) Cash Required (M)-293.07-183.17-109.90
(=) Excess Retained (M)26.86136.76210.03
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)301.47301.47301.47
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.090.450.70
LTM Dividend per Share3.803.803.80
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.090.450.70
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.894.254.50
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$254.74$742.05$966.66
Upside / Downside40.32%308.73%432.45%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,465.351,560.591,662.031,770.061,885.122,007.652,067.88
Payout Ratio78.17%80.53%82.90%85.27%87.63%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,145.421,256.801,377.831,509.281,651.991,806.891,912.79

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,162.361,173.371,184.39
Year 2 PV (M)1,178.521,200.971,223.63
Year 3 PV (M)1,193.941,228.211,263.14
Year 4 PV (M)1,208.631,255.111,302.92
Year 5 PV (M)1,222.611,281.661,342.97
PV of Terminal Value (M)31,487.4833,008.3434,587.41
Equity Value (M)37,453.5439,147.6740,904.45
Shares Outstanding (M)301.47301.47301.47
Fair Value$124.24$129.86$135.68
Upside / Downside-31.57%-28.47%-25.26%

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