Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Guangdong Brandmax Marketing Co.,Ltd. (300805.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Advertising AgenciesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.64 - $0.92$0.78
Multi-Stage$0.99 - $1.09$1.04
Blended Fair Value$0.91
Current Price$11.44
Upside-92.06%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.040.000.000.050.100.000.140.070.270.23
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%-100.00%-50.00%0.00%-100.00%105.06%-74.33%17.15%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.39%0.00%0.00%0.53%0.66%0.00%0.98%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)41.52
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8.49
(=) Cash Retained (M)33.03
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8.305.193.11
Cash Retained (M)33.0333.0333.03
(-) Cash Required (M)-8.30-5.19-3.11
(=) Excess Retained (M)24.7327.8429.92
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)435.67435.67435.67
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.060.060.07
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.060.060.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.080.080.09
WACC / Discount Rate9.60%9.60%9.60%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$0.64$0.78$0.92
Upside / Downside-94.37%-93.19%-91.97%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)41.5241.1040.6940.2939.8839.4940.67
Payout Ratio20.44%34.35%48.26%62.17%76.09%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8.4914.1219.6425.0530.3535.5437.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.60%9.60%9.60%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)12.7512.8813.01
Year 2 PV (M)16.0216.3516.68
Year 3 PV (M)18.4619.0319.61
Year 4 PV (M)20.2021.0321.90
Year 5 PV (M)21.3622.4723.63
PV of Terminal Value (M)342.81360.66379.25
Equity Value (M)431.60452.43474.08
Shares Outstanding (M)435.67435.67435.67
Fair Value$0.99$1.04$1.09
Upside / Downside-91.34%-90.92%-90.49%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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