Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Beijing Enlight Media Co., Ltd. (300251.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: EntertainmentSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.39 - $9.66$7.93
Multi-Stage$11.77 - $12.95$12.35
Blended Fair Value$10.14
Current Price$19.37
Upside-47.64%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.41%14.98%0.070.050.200.010.060.070.230.050.050.06
YoY Growth--38.49%-74.82%1,898.40%-83.76%-9.80%-70.32%343.03%2.30%-12.18%234.80%
Dividend Yield--0.33%0.47%2.25%0.12%0.52%0.77%2.61%0.40%0.54%0.50%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,166.77
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)584.75
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,582.02
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)433.35270.85162.51
Cash Retained (M)1,582.021,582.021,582.02
(-) Cash Required (M)-433.35-270.85-162.51
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,148.671,311.181,419.52
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,924.882,924.882,924.88
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.390.450.49
LTM Dividend per Share0.200.200.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.390.450.49
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.590.650.69
WACC / Discount Rate7.54%7.54%7.54%
Growth Rate-1.59%-0.59%0.41%
Fair Value$6.39$7.93$9.66
Upside / Downside-67.00%-59.05%-50.14%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,166.772,154.052,141.402,128.832,116.332,103.902,167.02
Payout Ratio26.99%39.59%52.19%64.79%77.40%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)584.75852.781,117.641,379.371,637.981,893.512,004.49

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.54%7.54%7.54%
Growth Rate-1.59%-0.59%0.41%
Year 1 PV (M)785.03793.01800.98
Year 2 PV (M)947.11966.46986.00
Year 3 PV (M)1,076.041,109.171,142.98
Year 4 PV (M)1,176.261,224.811,274.84
Year 5 PV (M)1,251.731,316.631,384.20
PV of Terminal Value (M)29,202.3530,716.4732,292.76
Equity Value (M)34,438.5236,126.5437,881.76
Shares Outstanding (M)2,924.882,924.882,924.88
Fair Value$11.77$12.35$12.95
Upside / Downside-39.21%-36.23%-33.14%

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