Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Hubei Huitian New Materials Co., Ltd. (300041.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$46.46 - $54.73$51.29
Multi-Stage$11.73 - $12.84$12.27
Blended Fair Value$31.78
Current Price$12.16
Upside161.38%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.26%13.15%0.170.160.110.030.150.110.380.110.050.05
YoY Growth--6.73%39.63%307.27%-81.77%34.39%-70.00%254.07%100.00%-1.16%10.14%
Dividend Yield--1.78%1.69%1.00%0.27%1.51%1.31%6.37%1.27%0.62%0.69%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)154.67
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)105.55
(=) Cash Retained (M)49.12
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)30.9319.3311.60
Cash Retained (M)49.1249.1249.12
(-) Cash Required (M)-30.93-19.33-11.60
(=) Excess Retained (M)18.1929.7937.52
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)561.99561.99561.99
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.030.050.07
LTM Dividend per Share0.190.190.19
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.030.050.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.220.240.25
WACC / Discount Rate5.47%5.47%5.47%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$46.46$51.29$54.73
Upside / Downside282.05%321.83%350.12%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)154.67164.72175.43186.83198.98211.91218.27
Payout Ratio68.24%72.59%76.95%81.30%85.65%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)105.55119.58134.99151.89170.42190.72201.90

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.47%5.47%5.47%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)112.31113.37114.44
Year 2 PV (M)119.07121.34123.63
Year 3 PV (M)125.83129.44133.13
Year 4 PV (M)132.60137.70142.94
Year 5 PV (M)139.37146.10153.09
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,961.796,249.756,548.72
Equity Value (M)6,590.976,897.707,215.95
Shares Outstanding (M)561.99561.99561.99
Fair Value$11.73$12.27$12.84
Upside / Downside-3.55%0.94%5.59%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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