Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Netmarble Corporation (251270.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electronic Gaming & MultimediaSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9,487.74 - $13,789.17$11,572.02
Multi-Stage$16,221.45 - $17,813.24$17,001.93
Blended Fair Value$14,286.97
Current Price$61,700.00
Upside-76.84%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-7.46%0.00%1.0625.97627.151,876.920.001.57365.880.0046.1737.41
YoY Growth---95.90%-95.86%-66.59%0.00%-100.00%-99.57%0.00%-100.00%23.41%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.04%0.95%1.68%0.00%0.00%0.30%0.00%0.03%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)107,560.13
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)41,257.49
(=) Cash Retained (M)66,302.64
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)21,512.0313,445.028,067.01
Cash Retained (M)66,302.6466,302.6466,302.64
(-) Cash Required (M)-21,512.03-13,445.02-8,067.01
(=) Excess Retained (M)44,790.6152,857.6258,235.63
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)83.6483.6483.64
(=) Excess Retained per Share535.55632.00696.30
LTM Dividend per Share493.30493.30493.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share535.55632.00696.30
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,028.851,125.301,189.61
WACC / Discount Rate8.63%8.63%8.63%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$9,487.74$11,572.02$13,789.17
Upside / Downside-84.62%-81.24%-77.65%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)107,560.13106,484.53105,419.68104,365.49103,321.83102,288.61105,357.27
Payout Ratio38.36%48.69%59.01%69.34%79.67%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)41,257.4951,843.1562,212.9772,370.2082,318.0792,059.7597,455.48

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.63%8.63%8.63%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)47,243.7147,725.7948,207.87
Year 2 PV (M)51,663.7852,723.5253,794.02
Year 3 PV (M)54,766.8456,460.5558,188.81
Year 4 PV (M)56,768.2859,121.0761,546.23
Year 5 PV (M)57,853.9560,866.5464,003.34
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,088,388.161,145,063.061,204,074.70
Equity Value (M)1,356,684.741,421,960.521,489,814.98
Shares Outstanding (M)83.6483.6483.64
Fair Value$16,221.45$17,001.93$17,813.24
Upside / Downside-73.71%-72.44%-71.13%

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