Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Lushang Life Services Co., Ltd. (2376.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.33 - $6.59$5.39
Multi-Stage$8.84 - $9.75$9.29
Blended Fair Value$7.34
Current Price$1.92
Upside282.09%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.030.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---100.00%714.29%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%1.46%0.15%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)70.54
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4.59
(=) Cash Retained (M)65.95
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)14.118.825.29
Cash Retained (M)65.9565.9565.95
(-) Cash Required (M)-14.11-8.82-5.29
(=) Excess Retained (M)51.8457.1360.66
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)144.24144.24144.24
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.360.400.42
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.360.400.42
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.390.430.45
WACC / Discount Rate6.86%6.86%6.86%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$4.33$5.39$6.59
Upside / Downside125.28%180.57%243.24%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)70.5469.8369.1368.4467.7667.0869.09
Payout Ratio6.51%23.21%39.90%56.60%73.30%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4.5916.2127.5938.7449.6760.3763.91

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.86%6.86%6.86%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)15.0115.1615.32
Year 2 PV (M)23.6724.1624.65
Year 3 PV (M)30.7931.7532.72
Year 4 PV (M)36.5738.0939.65
Year 5 PV (M)41.1843.3245.55
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,128.121,186.861,248.03
Equity Value (M)1,275.341,339.331,405.91
Shares Outstanding (M)144.24144.24144.24
Fair Value$8.84$9.29$9.75
Upside / Downside360.50%383.61%407.65%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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