Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Echomarketing Co.,Ltd. (230360.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - TextilesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$54,091.41 - $176,458.27$165,353.66
Multi-Stage$30,324.70 - $33,215.30$31,743.20
Blended Fair Value$98,548.43
Current Price$12,810.00
Upside669.31%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.00295.42337.11327.50667.09441.3163.9153.490.000.00
YoY Growth---100.00%-12.37%2.94%-50.91%51.16%590.48%19.50%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%2.23%2.68%1.50%2.54%3.50%0.56%1.12%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)28,254.57
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)15,734.01
(=) Cash Retained (M)12,520.55
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5,650.913,531.822,119.09
Cash Retained (M)12,520.5512,520.5512,520.55
(-) Cash Required (M)-5,650.91-3,531.82-2,119.09
(=) Excess Retained (M)6,869.648,988.7310,401.46
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)31.5731.5731.57
(=) Excess Retained per Share217.62284.74329.50
LTM Dividend per Share498.42498.42498.42
(+) Excess Retained per Share217.62284.74329.50
(=) Adjusted Dividend716.04783.16827.92
WACC / Discount Rate5.95%5.95%5.95%
Growth Rate4.57%5.57%6.57%
Fair Value$54,091.41$165,353.66$176,458.27
Upside / Downside322.26%1,190.82%1,277.50%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)28,254.5729,827.6731,488.3733,241.5235,092.2837,046.0938,157.47
Payout Ratio55.69%62.55%69.41%76.27%83.14%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)15,734.0118,657.0021,856.7025,354.8529,174.7833,341.4835,295.66

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.95%5.95%5.95%
Growth Rate4.57%5.57%6.57%
Year 1 PV (M)17,442.1417,608.9417,775.75
Year 2 PV (M)19,102.9519,470.0719,840.68
Year 3 PV (M)20,717.3921,317.4721,929.02
Year 4 PV (M)22,286.3923,151.2124,040.96
Year 5 PV (M)23,810.8524,971.3726,176.71
PV of Terminal Value (M)853,922.74895,542.32938,769.12
Equity Value (M)957,282.461,002,061.381,048,532.24
Shares Outstanding (M)31.5731.5731.57
Fair Value$30,324.70$31,743.20$33,215.30
Upside / Downside136.73%147.80%159.29%

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